Official National Weather Service forecasts project a daily high near 103°F for Dallas on August 16 under sunny skies and a heat advisory, driven by a persistent subtropical ridge promoting subsidence, clear conditions, and southerly flow advecting warm, moist air. This setup aligns with mid-August climatology, where Dallas averages around 96°F but frequently exceeds 100°F during ridge-dominated periods. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around 101–104°F, with minimal precipitation or cloud cover expected to moderate peak readings. Recent observations of 102°F on August 15 and stable guidance through the day have reinforced trader positioning toward the 102–103°F bin as the most probable outcome, while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainties of ±1–2°F from mesoscale variations or timing of maximum heating.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 16?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 16?
102-103°F 61%
100-101°F 19%
104-105°F 16%
106-107°F 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
19%
102-103°F
61%
104-105°F
16%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 61%
100-101°F 19%
104-105°F 16%
106-107°F 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
95°F or below
$203 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$139 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$69 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$471 Vol.
19%
102-103°F
$1,170 Vol.
61%
104-105°F
$1,034 Vol.
16%
106-107°F
$1,195 Vol.
2%
108-109°F
$81 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$87 Vol.
<1%
112-113°F
$262 Vol.
<1%
114°F or higher
$266 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts project a daily high near 103°F for Dallas on August 16 under sunny skies and a heat advisory, driven by a persistent subtropical ridge promoting subsidence, clear conditions, and southerly flow advecting warm, moist air. This setup aligns with mid-August climatology, where Dallas averages around 96°F but frequently exceeds 100°F during ridge-dominated periods. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around 101–104°F, with minimal precipitation or cloud cover expected to moderate peak readings. Recent observations of 102°F on August 15 and stable guidance through the day have reinforced trader positioning toward the 102–103°F bin as the most probable outcome, while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainties of ±1–2°F from mesoscale variations or timing of maximum heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$4,977End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts project a daily high near 103°F for Dallas on August 16 under sunny skies and a heat advisory, driven by a persistent subtropical ridge promoting subsidence, clear conditions, and southerly flow advecting warm, moist air. This setup aligns with mid-August climatology, where Dallas averages around 96°F but frequently exceeds 100°F during ridge-dominated periods. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around 101–104°F, with minimal precipitation or cloud cover expected to moderate peak readings. Recent observations of 102°F on August 15 and stable guidance through the day have reinforced trader positioning toward the 102–103°F bin as the most probable outcome, while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainties of ±1–2°F from mesoscale variations or timing of maximum heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,977End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts project a daily high near 103°F for Dallas on August 16 under sunny skies and a heat advisory, driven by a persistent subtropical ridge promoting subsidence, clear conditions, and southerly flow advecting warm, moist air. This setup aligns with mid-August climatology, where Dallas averages around 96°F but frequently exceeds 100°F during ridge-dominated periods. Ensemble model consensus shows limited spread around 101–104°F, with minimal precipitation or cloud cover expected to moderate peak readings. Recent observations of 102°F on August 15 and stable guidance through the day have reinforced trader positioning toward the 102–103°F bin as the most probable outcome, while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainties of ±1–2°F from mesoscale variations or timing of maximum heating.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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