National Weather Service forecasts call for a high near 85°F in Denver on August 16 under mostly sunny conditions with only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance, directly supporting the market's concentration of implied probability in the 82–85°F range. This outlook reflects a modest cooldown from earlier August heat, with increased moisture and potential convective development capable of limiting peak readings through cloud cover or earlier storm initiation. Afternoon winds and dew points around 55°F further constrain upward excursions, while climatological August highs average near 87–88°F. Updated model guidance and any late-day observational shifts from NWS monitoring will determine final resolution within these narrow bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 16?
82-83°F 39%
84-85°F 31%
80-81°F 18%
86-87°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
31%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 39%
84-85°F 31%
80-81°F 18%
86-87°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
73°F or below
$729 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$695 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$320 Vol.
4%
78-79°F
$526 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$884 Vol.
18%
82-83°F
$356 Vol.
39%
84-85°F
$787 Vol.
31%
86-87°F
$191 Vol.
7%
88-89°F
$119 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$443 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$314 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts call for a high near 85°F in Denver on August 16 under mostly sunny conditions with only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance, directly supporting the market's concentration of implied probability in the 82–85°F range. This outlook reflects a modest cooldown from earlier August heat, with increased moisture and potential convective development capable of limiting peak readings through cloud cover or earlier storm initiation. Afternoon winds and dew points around 55°F further constrain upward excursions, while climatological August highs average near 87–88°F. Updated model guidance and any late-day observational shifts from NWS monitoring will determine final resolution within these narrow bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Volume
$5,365End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts call for a high near 85°F in Denver on August 16 under mostly sunny conditions with only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance, directly supporting the market's concentration of implied probability in the 82–85°F range. This outlook reflects a modest cooldown from earlier August heat, with increased moisture and potential convective development capable of limiting peak readings through cloud cover or earlier storm initiation. Afternoon winds and dew points around 55°F further constrain upward excursions, while climatological August highs average near 87–88°F. Updated model guidance and any late-day observational shifts from NWS monitoring will determine final resolution within these narrow bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,365End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts call for a high near 85°F in Denver on August 16 under mostly sunny conditions with only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance, directly supporting the market's concentration of implied probability in the 82–85°F range. This outlook reflects a modest cooldown from earlier August heat, with increased moisture and potential convective development capable of limiting peak readings through cloud cover or earlier storm initiation. Afternoon winds and dew points around 55°F further constrain upward excursions, while climatological August highs average near 87–88°F. Updated model guidance and any late-day observational shifts from NWS monitoring will determine final resolution within these narrow bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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