Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles converge on a Jeddah maximum of 36–38°C for June 16, 2026, placing the 37°C outcome at near-certainty in trader pricing. This aligns with June climatology for the Red Sea coast, where average highs reach 36–37°C amid persistent northwesterly flow, elevated humidity, and minimal cloud cover that caps extreme surface heating. Official observations through midday confirm readings climbing steadily toward this range without signs of intensification. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture or local advection could still produce a 1–2°C deviation, though such shifts remain low-probability given stable synoptic conditions and the absence of disruptive weather features.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on June 16?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on June 16?
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$40,145 Vol.
$40,145 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$40,145 Vol.
$40,145 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
30°C or below
$566 Vol.
No
31°C
$741 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,076 Vol.
No
33°C
$970 Vol.
No
34°C
$5,635 Vol.
No
35°C
$4,628 Vol.
No
36°C
$6,771 Vol.
No
37°C
$5,515 Vol.
Yes
38°C
$4,117 Vol.
No
39°C
$3,524 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$6,601 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles converge on a Jeddah maximum of 36–38°C for June 16, 2026, placing the 37°C outcome at near-certainty in trader pricing. This aligns with June climatology for the Red Sea coast, where average highs reach 36–37°C amid persistent northwesterly flow, elevated humidity, and minimal cloud cover that caps extreme surface heating. Official observations through midday confirm readings climbing steadily toward this range without signs of intensification. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture or local advection could still produce a 1–2°C deviation, though such shifts remain low-probability given stable synoptic conditions and the absence of disruptive weather features.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$40,145End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles converge on a Jeddah maximum of 36–38°C for June 16, 2026, placing the 37°C outcome at near-certainty in trader pricing. This aligns with June climatology for the Red Sea coast, where average highs reach 36–37°C amid persistent northwesterly flow, elevated humidity, and minimal cloud cover that caps extreme surface heating. Official observations through midday confirm readings climbing steadily toward this range without signs of intensification. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture or local advection could still produce a 1–2°C deviation, though such shifts remain low-probability given stable synoptic conditions and the absence of disruptive weather features.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40,145End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles converge on a Jeddah maximum of 36–38°C for June 16, 2026, placing the 37°C outcome at near-certainty in trader pricing. This aligns with June climatology for the Red Sea coast, where average highs reach 36–37°C amid persistent northwesterly flow, elevated humidity, and minimal cloud cover that caps extreme surface heating. Official observations through midday confirm readings climbing steadily toward this range without signs of intensification. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture or local advection could still produce a 1–2°C deviation, though such shifts remain low-probability given stable synoptic conditions and the absence of disruptive weather features.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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