Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including AccuWeather and regional models, indicate Jinan will reach highs of 28–30°C on September 11 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and no precipitation. These conditions align with typical early September patterns in Shandong, where high-pressure dominance promotes daytime warming without significant moisture or frontal activity to moderate temperatures. Trader consensus at 94.5% for 26°C or higher reflects this strong model agreement and low historical variability for the date. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unexpected cloud cover could still trim the peak below the threshold, though current guidance shows minimal risk of such changes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on September 11?
26°C or higher 95%
25°C 7%
17°C 4%
18°C 4%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
95%
26°C or higher 95%
25°C 7%
17°C 4%
18°C 4%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including AccuWeather and regional models, indicate Jinan will reach highs of 28–30°C on September 11 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and no precipitation. These conditions align with typical early September patterns in Shandong, where high-pressure dominance promotes daytime warming without significant moisture or frontal activity to moderate temperatures. Trader consensus at 94.5% for 26°C or higher reflects this strong model agreement and low historical variability for the date. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unexpected cloud cover could still trim the peak below the threshold, though current guidance shows minimal risk of such changes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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