Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate Moscow will likely see a daytime high near 19–21°C on August 24 amid a shift to cooler southwesterly flow and increased cloud cover after warmer conditions earlier in the weekend. This transition, driven by an approaching upper-level trough, explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 20°C (38%) and 19°C (28.5%), with modest support for 18°C or 21°C reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any localized clearing. Model runs show only minor disagreements on peak values, consistent with late-summer variability when daytime maxima typically average near 21°C. The next 24–48 hours of updated guidance from the Hydrometeorological Center and global ensembles will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
20°C 38%
19°C 29%
18°C 19%
21°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
3%
16°C
5%
17°C
6%
18°C
19%
19°C
29%
20°C
38%
21°C
11%
22°C
5%
23°C
7%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 38%
19°C 29%
18°C 19%
21°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
$45 Vol.
3%
16°C
$10 Vol.
5%
17°C
$13 Vol.
6%
18°C
$68 Vol.
19%
19°C
$2 Vol.
29%
20°C
$66 Vol.
38%
21°C
$119 Vol.
11%
22°C
$31 Vol.
5%
23°C
$32 Vol.
7%
24°C
$5 Vol.
2%
25°C or higher
$71 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate Moscow will likely see a daytime high near 19–21°C on August 24 amid a shift to cooler southwesterly flow and increased cloud cover after warmer conditions earlier in the weekend. This transition, driven by an approaching upper-level trough, explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 20°C (38%) and 19°C (28.5%), with modest support for 18°C or 21°C reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any localized clearing. Model runs show only minor disagreements on peak values, consistent with late-summer variability when daytime maxima typically average near 21°C. The next 24–48 hours of updated guidance from the Hydrometeorological Center and global ensembles will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Volume
$463End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate Moscow will likely see a daytime high near 19–21°C on August 24 amid a shift to cooler southwesterly flow and increased cloud cover after warmer conditions earlier in the weekend. This transition, driven by an approaching upper-level trough, explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 20°C (38%) and 19°C (28.5%), with modest support for 18°C or 21°C reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any localized clearing. Model runs show only minor disagreements on peak values, consistent with late-summer variability when daytime maxima typically average near 21°C. The next 24–48 hours of updated guidance from the Hydrometeorological Center and global ensembles will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$463End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate Moscow will likely see a daytime high near 19–21°C on August 24 amid a shift to cooler southwesterly flow and increased cloud cover after warmer conditions earlier in the weekend. This transition, driven by an approaching upper-level trough, explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 20°C (38%) and 19°C (28.5%), with modest support for 18°C or 21°C reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any localized clearing. Model runs show only minor disagreements on peak values, consistent with late-summer variability when daytime maxima typically average near 21°C. The next 24–48 hours of updated guidance from the Hydrometeorological Center and global ensembles will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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