**Trader consensus has converged on 32°C as the definitive highest temperature recorded in Panama City on June 11, with near-certain market-implied probability.** This positioning reflects official observational data from local meteorological stations, which captured a daily maximum of exactly 32°C under typical early-June conditions of high humidity and moderate Atlantic influence. Historical climatology for the region supports daytime peaks in the low-30s Celsius range during this period, driven by seasonal solar insolation and prevailing trade winds that limit extreme excursions. The strong market alignment stems from verified station reports aligning precisely with this threshold, leaving minimal room for alternative outcomes once preliminary readings were confirmed. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include post-event data revisions by national weather services due to sensor calibration issues, reanalysis incorporating additional microclimate stations, or resolution criteria tied to a specific reporting site whose final validated maximum differs slightly. Such adjustments remain uncommon but highlight the inherent uncertainty in precise temperature thresholding even after the observation window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on June 11?
Highest temperature in Panama City on June 11?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$20,160 Vol.
$20,160 Vol.
Jun 11, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$20,160 Vol.
$20,160 Vol.
Jun 11, 2026
26°C or below
$321 Vol.
No
27°C
$329 Vol.
No
28°C
$765 Vol.
No
29°C
$553 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,944 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,009 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,907 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$1,521 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,830 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,336 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$3,647 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 32°C as the definitive highest temperature recorded in Panama City on June 11, with near-certain market-implied probability.** This positioning reflects official observational data from local meteorological stations, which captured a daily maximum of exactly 32°C under typical early-June conditions of high humidity and moderate Atlantic influence. Historical climatology for the region supports daytime peaks in the low-30s Celsius range during this period, driven by seasonal solar insolation and prevailing trade winds that limit extreme excursions.
The strong market alignment stems from verified station reports aligning precisely with this threshold, leaving minimal room for alternative outcomes once preliminary readings were confirmed. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include post-event data revisions by national weather services due to sensor calibration issues, reanalysis incorporating additional microclimate stations, or resolution criteria tied to a specific reporting site whose final validated maximum differs slightly. Such adjustments remain uncommon but highlight the inherent uncertainty in precise temperature thresholding even after the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 9:11 PM ET
Volume
$20,160End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 9:11 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 32°C as the definitive highest temperature recorded in Panama City on June 11, with near-certain market-implied probability.** This positioning reflects official observational data from local meteorological stations, which captured a daily maximum of exactly 32°C under typical early-June conditions of high humidity and moderate Atlantic influence. Historical climatology for the region supports daytime peaks in the low-30s Celsius range during this period, driven by seasonal solar insolation and prevailing trade winds that limit extreme excursions.
The strong market alignment stems from verified station reports aligning precisely with this threshold, leaving minimal room for alternative outcomes once preliminary readings were confirmed. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include post-event data revisions by national weather services due to sensor calibration issues, reanalysis incorporating additional microclimate stations, or resolution criteria tied to a specific reporting site whose final validated maximum differs slightly. Such adjustments remain uncommon but highlight the inherent uncertainty in precise temperature thresholding even after the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,160End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 9:11 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus has converged on 32°C as the definitive highest temperature recorded in Panama City on June 11, with near-certain market-implied probability.** This positioning reflects official observational data from local meteorological stations, which captured a daily maximum of exactly 32°C under typical early-June conditions of high humidity and moderate Atlantic influence. Historical climatology for the region supports daytime peaks in the low-30s Celsius range during this period, driven by seasonal solar insolation and prevailing trade winds that limit extreme excursions. The strong market alignment stems from verified station reports aligning precisely with this threshold, leaving minimal room for alternative outcomes once preliminary readings were confirmed. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include post-event data revisions by national weather services due to sensor calibration issues, reanalysis incorporating additional microclimate stations, or resolution criteria tied to a specific reporting site whose final validated maximum differs slightly. Such adjustments remain uncommon but highlight the inherent uncertainty in precise temperature thresholding even after the observation window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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