Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 12°C around 5:00 p.m. local time under partly sunny conditions with persistent cloud cover that suppressed solar heating despite short-range ECMWF and UK Met Office forecasts implying 13–14°C peaks. This aligns with IMGW reports of a cool air mass over Poland, yielding market-implied odds of 100% for 12°C as traders aggregate real-time data from airport METARs and station records. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from official sources like IMGW, though highly unlikely post-verification; next hourly observations and daily summaries solidify the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 8?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 8?
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$91,040 Vol.
$91,040 Vol.
May 8, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$91,040 Vol.
$91,040 Vol.
May 8, 2026
8°C or below
$738 Vol.
No
9°C
$1,271 Vol.
No
10°C
$2,234 Vol.
No
11°C
$6,695 Vol.
No
12°C
$12,295 Vol.
Yes
13°C
$13,393 Vol.
No
14°C
$21,968 Vol.
No
15°C
$11,371 Vol.
No
16°C
$7,036 Vol.
No
17°C
$6,967 Vol.
No
18°C or higher
$7,070 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 12°C around 5:00 p.m. local time under partly sunny conditions with persistent cloud cover that suppressed solar heating despite short-range ECMWF and UK Met Office forecasts implying 13–14°C peaks. This aligns with IMGW reports of a cool air mass over Poland, yielding market-implied odds of 100% for 12°C as traders aggregate real-time data from airport METARs and station records. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from official sources like IMGW, though highly unlikely post-verification; next hourly observations and daily summaries solidify the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$91,040End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
May 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 12°C around 5:00 p.m. local time under partly sunny conditions with persistent cloud cover that suppressed solar heating despite short-range ECMWF and UK Met Office forecasts implying 13–14°C peaks. This aligns with IMGW reports of a cool air mass over Poland, yielding market-implied odds of 100% for 12°C as traders aggregate real-time data from airport METARs and station records. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from official sources like IMGW, though highly unlikely post-verification; next hourly observations and daily summaries solidify the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$91,040End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
May 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, the market's resolution station, confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 12°C around 5:00 p.m. local time under partly sunny conditions with persistent cloud cover that suppressed solar heating despite short-range ECMWF and UK Met Office forecasts implying 13–14°C peaks. This aligns with IMGW reports of a cool air mass over Poland, yielding market-implied odds of 100% for 12°C as traders aggregate real-time data from airport METARs and station records. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions from official sources like IMGW, though highly unlikely post-verification; next hourly observations and daily summaries solidify the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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