Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia and Central Park, recorded a minimum temperature of 66–67°F for New York City on June 4, 2026, anchoring the market at 100% on that outcome. A surge of warmer-than-average air associated with early-season heat wave conditions kept overnight lows elevated well above the climatological average of around 59°F for early June, with model guidance and preliminary reports converging on readings in the mid-60s. This consensus reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, though rare post-event revisions to the official climatological report could theoretically shift resolution if discrepancies emerge in final quality-controlled values.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on June 4?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 4?
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$95,916 Vol.
$95,916 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$95,916 Vol.
$95,916 Vol.
Jun 4, 2026
55°F or below
$10,552 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$20,807 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$4,089 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$4,288 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$9,720 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$6,383 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$9,515 Vol.
Yes
68-69°F
$20,613 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$8,485 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,143 Vol.
No
74°F or higher
$320 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia and Central Park, recorded a minimum temperature of 66–67°F for New York City on June 4, 2026, anchoring the market at 100% on that outcome. A surge of warmer-than-average air associated with early-season heat wave conditions kept overnight lows elevated well above the climatological average of around 59°F for early June, with model guidance and preliminary reports converging on readings in the mid-60s. This consensus reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, though rare post-event revisions to the official climatological report could theoretically shift resolution if discrepancies emerge in final quality-controlled values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 2, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$95,916End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia and Central Park, recorded a minimum temperature of 66–67°F for New York City on June 4, 2026, anchoring the market at 100% on that outcome. A surge of warmer-than-average air associated with early-season heat wave conditions kept overnight lows elevated well above the climatological average of around 59°F for early June, with model guidance and preliminary reports converging on readings in the mid-60s. This consensus reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, though rare post-event revisions to the official climatological report could theoretically shift resolution if discrepancies emerge in final quality-controlled values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$95,916End Date
Jun 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia and Central Park, recorded a minimum temperature of 66–67°F for New York City on June 4, 2026, anchoring the market at 100% on that outcome. A surge of warmer-than-average air associated with early-season heat wave conditions kept overnight lows elevated well above the climatological average of around 59°F for early June, with model guidance and preliminary reports converging on readings in the mid-60s. This consensus reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, though rare post-event revisions to the official climatological report could theoretically shift resolution if discrepancies emerge in final quality-controlled values.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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