Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates a minimum temperature near 23°C for Tel Aviv on September 10, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling overnight under stable high pressure. Daytime highs near 30–32°C contrast with expected lows in the 23–25°C range, consistent with seasonal norms for the coastal Mediterranean location where sea breezes moderate extremes. Trader emphasis on 23°C and 21°C outcomes reflects minor model spread in dew point and wind patterns, with resolution hinging on official Israeli Meteorological Service observations through midnight. No significant frontal systems or heat anomalies are altering the baseline trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 10?
21°C 83%
22°C 4%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$1,349 Vol.
$1,349 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
83%
22°C
4%
23°C
-
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
21°C 83%
22°C 4%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$1,349 Vol.
$1,349 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
19°C or below
$140 Vol.
1%
20°C
$140 Vol.
1%
21°C
$25 Vol.
83%
22°C
$78 Vol.
4%
23°C
$247 Vol.
-
24°C
$249 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$187 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$43 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$84 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates a minimum temperature near 23°C for Tel Aviv on September 10, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling overnight under stable high pressure. Daytime highs near 30–32°C contrast with expected lows in the 23–25°C range, consistent with seasonal norms for the coastal Mediterranean location where sea breezes moderate extremes. Trader emphasis on 23°C and 21°C outcomes reflects minor model spread in dew point and wind patterns, with resolution hinging on official Israeli Meteorological Service observations through midnight. No significant frontal systems or heat anomalies are altering the baseline trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,349End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates a minimum temperature near 23°C for Tel Aviv on September 10, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling overnight under stable high pressure. Daytime highs near 30–32°C contrast with expected lows in the 23–25°C range, consistent with seasonal norms for the coastal Mediterranean location where sea breezes moderate extremes. Trader emphasis on 23°C and 21°C outcomes reflects minor model spread in dew point and wind patterns, with resolution hinging on official Israeli Meteorological Service observations through midnight. No significant frontal systems or heat anomalies are altering the baseline trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,349End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates a minimum temperature near 23°C for Tel Aviv on September 10, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling overnight under stable high pressure. Daytime highs near 30–32°C contrast with expected lows in the 23–25°C range, consistent with seasonal norms for the coastal Mediterranean location where sea breezes moderate extremes. Trader emphasis on 23°C and 21°C outcomes reflects minor model spread in dew point and wind patterns, with resolution hinging on official Israeli Meteorological Service observations through midnight. No significant frontal systems or heat anomalies are altering the baseline trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions