Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 13, with 22°C leading at 26% implied probability amid drizzle-prone conditions per BBC Weather and timeanddate.com guidance projecting highs of 22–23°C. Recent China Meteorological Administration reports noted April 10's rainy high of 23°C, aligning with April climatological averages around 22°C in the humid Sichuan Basin, where frequent light precipitation and overcast skies limit solar heating and diurnal temperature ranges. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent and drizzle timing—persistent overcast favors 21–22°C, while breaks could yield 23–24°C—highlighting model ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS runs. Updated forecasts expected overnight from the National Meteorological Center may refine this before resolution based on official observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 13?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 13?
22°C 27%
23°C 23%
24°C 20%
21°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 avr. 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
14%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
20%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
3%
22°C 27%
23°C 23%
24°C 20%
21°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 avr. 2026
17°C or below
$668 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$840 Vol.
1%
19°C
$445 Vol.
2%
20°C
$135 Vol.
3%
21°C
$98 Vol.
14%
22°C
$188 Vol.
27%
23°C
$170 Vol.
27%
24°C
$88 Vol.
20%
25°C
$146 Vol.
5%
26°C
$290 Vol.
2%
27°C or higher
$562 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 13, with 22°C leading at 26% implied probability amid drizzle-prone conditions per BBC Weather and timeanddate.com guidance projecting highs of 22–23°C. Recent China Meteorological Administration reports noted April 10's rainy high of 23°C, aligning with April climatological averages around 22°C in the humid Sichuan Basin, where frequent light precipitation and overcast skies limit solar heating and diurnal temperature ranges. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent and drizzle timing—persistent overcast favors 21–22°C, while breaks could yield 23–24°C—highlighting model ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS runs. Updated forecasts expected overnight from the National Meteorological Center may refine this before resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volume
$3,629Date de fin
13 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 13, with 22°C leading at 26% implied probability amid drizzle-prone conditions per BBC Weather and timeanddate.com guidance projecting highs of 22–23°C. Recent China Meteorological Administration reports noted April 10's rainy high of 23°C, aligning with April climatological averages around 22°C in the humid Sichuan Basin, where frequent light precipitation and overcast skies limit solar heating and diurnal temperature ranges. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent and drizzle timing—persistent overcast favors 21–22°C, while breaks could yield 23–24°C—highlighting model ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS runs. Updated forecasts expected overnight from the National Meteorological Center may refine this before resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,629Date de fin
13 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 13, with 22°C leading at 26% implied probability amid drizzle-prone conditions per BBC Weather and timeanddate.com guidance projecting highs of 22–23°C. Recent China Meteorological Administration reports noted April 10's rainy high of 23°C, aligning with April climatological averages around 22°C in the humid Sichuan Basin, where frequent light precipitation and overcast skies limit solar heating and diurnal temperature ranges. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent and drizzle timing—persistent overcast favors 21–22°C, while breaks could yield 23–24°C—highlighting model ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS runs. Updated forecasts expected overnight from the National Meteorological Center may refine this before resolution based on official observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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