Latest National Weather Service model consensus points to a daily high of 100–101°F in Dallas on August 5 as the most likely outcome, underpinning the market’s leading 53.5% implied probability for that bin. Persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and limited afternoon cloud cover are expected to support temperatures several degrees above the mid-90s August normal, while steering patterns limit stronger cooling influences. Nearby guidance shows only modest run-to-run variability, keeping the 98–99°F and 102–103°F bins as secondary contenders at 28.5% and 14.5%. Updated short-range model runs and any last-minute observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Dallas le 5 août ?
100-101°F 54%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 15%
104-105°F 5%
$17,538 Vol.
$17,538 Vol.
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
54%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 54%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 15%
104-105°F 5%
$17,538 Vol.
$17,538 Vol.
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
54%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service model consensus points to a daily high of 100–101°F in Dallas on August 5 as the most likely outcome, underpinning the market’s leading 53.5% implied probability for that bin. Persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and limited afternoon cloud cover are expected to support temperatures several degrees above the mid-90s August normal, while steering patterns limit stronger cooling influences. Nearby guidance shows only modest run-to-run variability, keeping the 98–99°F and 102–103°F bins as secondary contenders at 28.5% and 14.5%. Updated short-range model runs and any last-minute observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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