Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 74-75°F (32.5%) for Denver on April 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance showing post-frontal clearing after morning showers from a departing low-pressure system, with a high-pressure ridge building over the central Rockies to deliver southerly winds and downslope warming effects. This follows recent showers and cooler highs near 61°F on April 14-15 amid spring storminess, contrasting March 2026's record warmth. High uncertainty stems from model spread in the GFS and European ensembles, where slower cloud dissipation or persistent low-level moisture could limit peaks to 68-71°F (19.5% each), stronger ridging boosts 76-77°F (19.5%), or drier conditions exceed 82°F (19.0%). Key variables include clearing timing by midday and 850mb temperatures; watch afternoon NWS updates and evening model runs for shifts before resolution at Denver International Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Denver on April 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 16?
74-75°F 29%
76-77°F 28%
72-73°F 13%
78-79°F 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
67°F or below
8%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
4%
74-75°F 29%
76-77°F 28%
72-73°F 13%
78-79°F 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
67°F or below
$1,215 Vol.
8%
68-69°F
$133 Vol.
5%
70-71°F
$100 Vol.
7%
72-73°F
$46 Vol.
13%
74-75°F
$179 Vol.
29%
76-77°F
$84 Vol.
28%
78-79°F
$73 Vol.
11%
80-81°F
$93 Vol.
4%
82-83°F
$115 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$56 Vol.
3%
86°F or higher
$68 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 74-75°F (32.5%) for Denver on April 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance showing post-frontal clearing after morning showers from a departing low-pressure system, with a high-pressure ridge building over the central Rockies to deliver southerly winds and downslope warming effects. This follows recent showers and cooler highs near 61°F on April 14-15 amid spring storminess, contrasting March 2026's record warmth. High uncertainty stems from model spread in the GFS and European ensembles, where slower cloud dissipation or persistent low-level moisture could limit peaks to 68-71°F (19.5% each), stronger ridging boosts 76-77°F (19.5%), or drier conditions exceed 82°F (19.0%). Key variables include clearing timing by midday and 850mb temperatures; watch afternoon NWS updates and evening model runs for shifts before resolution at Denver International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
Volume
$2,126Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:42 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 74-75°F (32.5%) for Denver on April 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance showing post-frontal clearing after morning showers from a departing low-pressure system, with a high-pressure ridge building over the central Rockies to deliver southerly winds and downslope warming effects. This follows recent showers and cooler highs near 61°F on April 14-15 amid spring storminess, contrasting March 2026's record warmth. High uncertainty stems from model spread in the GFS and European ensembles, where slower cloud dissipation or persistent low-level moisture could limit peaks to 68-71°F (19.5% each), stronger ridging boosts 76-77°F (19.5%), or drier conditions exceed 82°F (19.0%). Key variables include clearing timing by midday and 850mb temperatures; watch afternoon NWS updates and evening model runs for shifts before resolution at Denver International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,126Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:42 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 74-75°F (32.5%) for Denver on April 16, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance showing post-frontal clearing after morning showers from a departing low-pressure system, with a high-pressure ridge building over the central Rockies to deliver southerly winds and downslope warming effects. This follows recent showers and cooler highs near 61°F on April 14-15 amid spring storminess, contrasting March 2026's record warmth. High uncertainty stems from model spread in the GFS and European ensembles, where slower cloud dissipation or persistent low-level moisture could limit peaks to 68-71°F (19.5% each), stronger ridging boosts 76-77°F (19.5%), or drier conditions exceed 82°F (19.0%). Key variables include clearing timing by midday and 850mb temperatures; watch afternoon NWS updates and evening model runs for shifts before resolution at Denver International Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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