Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), ECMWF, and GFS models project Istanbul's highest temperature on April 13 clustering around 13–14°C under overcast skies and light southerly winds from a cool post-frontal air mass over the Marmara Sea region, driving the tight trader consensus with 14°C at 36% implied probability edging 13°C at 26%. Differentiating factors include model divergence on afternoon cloud cover persistence—persistent stratiform layers could cap peaks at 13°C by limiting insolation, while brief breaks might enable boundary-layer warming to 15°C—against yesterday's subdued 13°C high. Seasonal norms near 16°C remain suppressed by this stable pattern; watch MGM hourly observations and overnight model runs for resolution cues before peak heating near 3 PM local time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 13?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 13?
14°C 35%
13°C 26%
15°C 12%
12°C 9%
$15,264 Vol.
$15,264 Vol.
13 avr. 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
9%
13°C
26%
14°C
35%
15°C
12%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
1%
14°C 35%
13°C 26%
15°C 12%
12°C 9%
$15,264 Vol.
$15,264 Vol.
13 avr. 2026
9°C or below
$1,087 Vol.
1%
10°C
$778 Vol.
1%
11°C
$1,311 Vol.
5%
12°C
$1,813 Vol.
9%
13°C
$1,199 Vol.
26%
14°C
$1,310 Vol.
35%
15°C
$2,673 Vol.
12%
16°C
$1,803 Vol.
3%
17°C
$1,397 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,286 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$728 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), ECMWF, and GFS models project Istanbul's highest temperature on April 13 clustering around 13–14°C under overcast skies and light southerly winds from a cool post-frontal air mass over the Marmara Sea region, driving the tight trader consensus with 14°C at 36% implied probability edging 13°C at 26%. Differentiating factors include model divergence on afternoon cloud cover persistence—persistent stratiform layers could cap peaks at 13°C by limiting insolation, while brief breaks might enable boundary-layer warming to 15°C—against yesterday's subdued 13°C high. Seasonal norms near 16°C remain suppressed by this stable pattern; watch MGM hourly observations and overnight model runs for resolution cues before peak heating near 3 PM local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volume
$15,264Date de fin
13 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), ECMWF, and GFS models project Istanbul's highest temperature on April 13 clustering around 13–14°C under overcast skies and light southerly winds from a cool post-frontal air mass over the Marmara Sea region, driving the tight trader consensus with 14°C at 36% implied probability edging 13°C at 26%. Differentiating factors include model divergence on afternoon cloud cover persistence—persistent stratiform layers could cap peaks at 13°C by limiting insolation, while brief breaks might enable boundary-layer warming to 15°C—against yesterday's subdued 13°C high. Seasonal norms near 16°C remain suppressed by this stable pattern; watch MGM hourly observations and overnight model runs for resolution cues before peak heating near 3 PM local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,264Date de fin
13 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), ECMWF, and GFS models project Istanbul's highest temperature on April 13 clustering around 13–14°C under overcast skies and light southerly winds from a cool post-frontal air mass over the Marmara Sea region, driving the tight trader consensus with 14°C at 36% implied probability edging 13°C at 26%. Differentiating factors include model divergence on afternoon cloud cover persistence—persistent stratiform layers could cap peaks at 13°C by limiting insolation, while brief breaks might enable boundary-layer warming to 15°C—against yesterday's subdued 13°C high. Seasonal norms near 16°C remain suppressed by this stable pattern; watch MGM hourly observations and overnight model runs for resolution cues before peak heating near 3 PM local time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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