Latest National Weather Service forecasts from the San Francisco Bay Area office project a high temperature of around 58-60°F on April 12, aligning with trader consensus favoring 58-59°F at 40% implied probability, due to persistent marine layer stratus clouds and moderate onshore winds suppressing daytime heating. Cool Pacific sea surface temperatures near 55°F combined with an upper-level trough pattern maintain cloudy conditions and low-level moisture, limiting solar insolation and capping peaks below climatological April norms of 62°F. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on mild highs with 30-70% precipitation chances from scattered showers, though rapid burn-off could push toward 60-61°F; final observations from official stations like KSFO will resolve the market amid typical coastal forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 12?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 12?
58-59°F 37%
56-57°F 24%
60-61°F 24%
54-55°F 6.6%
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
7%
56-57°F
24%
58-59°F
37%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
4%
66°F or higher
1%
58-59°F 37%
56-57°F 24%
60-61°F 24%
54-55°F 6.6%
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
7%
56-57°F
24%
58-59°F
37%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
4%
66°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts from the San Francisco Bay Area office project a high temperature of around 58-60°F on April 12, aligning with trader consensus favoring 58-59°F at 40% implied probability, due to persistent marine layer stratus clouds and moderate onshore winds suppressing daytime heating. Cool Pacific sea surface temperatures near 55°F combined with an upper-level trough pattern maintain cloudy conditions and low-level moisture, limiting solar insolation and capping peaks below climatological April norms of 62°F. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement on mild highs with 30-70% precipitation chances from scattered showers, though rapid burn-off could push toward 60-61°F; final observations from official stations like KSFO will resolve the market amid typical coastal forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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