Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 62-63°F (40%) and 60-61°F (38%) for San Francisco International Airport's highest temperature today, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts showing highs near 62°F amid a persistent marine layer of stratus clouds fueled by cool Pacific sea surface temperatures around 55°F. Moderate onshore breezes (10-20 mph from the southwest) limit mixing and suppress warming, while recent days' observations—like April 9's 55°F high well below the 65°F April normal—reinforce trader caution against higher outcomes. Key differentiator: potential partial afternoon burn-off of low clouds could nudge toward 64°F, but model consensus favors prolonged overcast conditions; monitor hourly updates from NOAA stations as the day unfolds for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 11?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 11?
60-61°F 38%
62-63°F 28%
64-65°F 14%
58-59°F 12%
$34,098 Vol.
$34,098 Vol.
58-59°F
12%
60-61°F
38%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
14%
66°F or higher
2%
60-61°F 38%
62-63°F 28%
64-65°F 14%
58-59°F 12%
$34,098 Vol.
$34,098 Vol.
58-59°F
12%
60-61°F
38%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
14%
66°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 62-63°F (40%) and 60-61°F (38%) for San Francisco International Airport's highest temperature today, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts showing highs near 62°F amid a persistent marine layer of stratus clouds fueled by cool Pacific sea surface temperatures around 55°F. Moderate onshore breezes (10-20 mph from the southwest) limit mixing and suppress warming, while recent days' observations—like April 9's 55°F high well below the 65°F April normal—reinforce trader caution against higher outcomes. Key differentiator: potential partial afternoon burn-off of low clouds could nudge toward 64°F, but model consensus favors prolonged overcast conditions; monitor hourly updates from NOAA stations as the day unfolds for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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