Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo holds a commanding position in California's 16th Congressional District, a Silicon Valley seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+25 partisan voting index, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for Democratic Party victory ahead of the November 2026 general election. Liccardo won his 2024 general election 58%-42% under the top-two primary system, bolstered by recent mid-decade redistricting from Proposition 50 that preserved the district's blue lean. Candidates filed by the March 6, 2026, deadline for the June 2 top-two primary include Republicans Kevin Johnson and Peter Soule plus independent Jotham Stein, none posing an immediate threat. Upsets remain possible via Liccardo scandal, health issues, or a national Republican midterm wave.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -16 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
CA -16 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$63,795 वॉल्यूम
$63,795 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
6%
$63,795 वॉल्यूम
$63,795 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$43,083 वॉल्यूम
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$20,712 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo holds a commanding position in California's 16th Congressional District, a Silicon Valley seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+25 partisan voting index, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for Democratic Party victory ahead of the November 2026 general election. Liccardo won his 2024 general election 58%-42% under the top-two primary system, bolstered by recent mid-decade redistricting from Proposition 50 that preserved the district's blue lean. Candidates filed by the March 6, 2026, deadline for the June 2 top-two primary include Republicans Kevin Johnson and Peter Soule plus independent Jotham Stein, none posing an immediate threat. Upsets remain possible via Liccardo scandal, health issues, or a national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$63,795समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo holds a commanding position in California's 16th Congressional District, a Silicon Valley seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+25 partisan voting index, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for Democratic Party victory ahead of the November 2026 general election. Liccardo won his 2024 general election 58%-42% under the top-two primary system, bolstered by recent mid-decade redistricting from Proposition 50 that preserved the district's blue lean. Candidates filed by the March 6, 2026, deadline for the June 2 top-two primary include Republicans Kevin Johnson and Peter Soule plus independent Jotham Stein, none posing an immediate threat. Upsets remain possible via Liccardo scandal, health issues, or a national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$63,795समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo holds a commanding position in California's 16th Congressional District, a Silicon Valley seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+25 partisan voting index, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for Democratic Party victory ahead of the November 2026 general election. Liccardo won his 2024 general election 58%-42% under the top-two primary system, bolstered by recent mid-decade redistricting from Proposition 50 that preserved the district's blue lean. Candidates filed by the March 6, 2026, deadline for the June 2 top-two primary include Republicans Kevin Johnson and Peter Soule plus independent Jotham Stein, none posing an immediate threat. Upsets remain possible via Liccardo scandal, health issues, or a national Republican midterm wave.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न