US and Israeli forces initiated major airstrikes against Iran on February 28, 2026, targeting military sites, nuclear facilities, and leadership, escalating into a conflict involving over 13,000 US-led strikes by early April. A ceasefire took effect around April 7, with US officials confirming the halt of offensive operations while maintaining defensive postures and regional presence; US CENTCOM declared Iran had suffered a "generational military defeat," suppressing its missile capabilities and disrupting supply lines. No verified new strikes on Iranian soil have occurred since, driving trader consensus toward near-term resolution dates, though uncertainties linger from potential IRGC retaliation, Strait of Hormuz tensions, and Pakistan-mediated nuclear talks that could solidify de-escalation or prompt resumption.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाईरान के खिलाफ सैन्य कार्रवाई समाप्त होती है...?
ईरान के खिलाफ सैन्य कार्रवाई समाप्त होती है...?
$29,683,657 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
17 अप्रैल
100%
$29,683,657 वॉल्यूम
17 अप्रैल
$26,667,747 वॉल्यूम
100%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces initiated major airstrikes against Iran on February 28, 2026, targeting military sites, nuclear facilities, and leadership, escalating into a conflict involving over 13,000 US-led strikes by early April. A ceasefire took effect around April 7, with US officials confirming the halt of offensive operations while maintaining defensive postures and regional presence; US CENTCOM declared Iran had suffered a "generational military defeat," suppressing its missile capabilities and disrupting supply lines. No verified new strikes on Iranian soil have occurred since, driving trader consensus toward near-term resolution dates, though uncertainties linger from potential IRGC retaliation, Strait of Hormuz tensions, and Pakistan-mediated nuclear talks that could solidify de-escalation or prompt resumption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 27, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$29,683,657समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 27, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: हाँ
विवादित
परिणाम प्रस्तावित: हाँ
विवादित
अंतिम समीक्षा
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces initiated major airstrikes against Iran on February 28, 2026, targeting military sites, nuclear facilities, and leadership, escalating into a conflict involving over 13,000 US-led strikes by early April. A ceasefire took effect around April 7, with US officials confirming the halt of offensive operations while maintaining defensive postures and regional presence; US CENTCOM declared Iran had suffered a "generational military defeat," suppressing its missile capabilities and disrupting supply lines. No verified new strikes on Iranian soil have occurred since, driving trader consensus toward near-term resolution dates, though uncertainties linger from potential IRGC retaliation, Strait of Hormuz tensions, and Pakistan-mediated nuclear talks that could solidify de-escalation or prompt resumption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$29,683,657समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 27, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: हाँ
विवादित
परिणाम प्रस्तावित: हाँ
विवादित
अंतिम समीक्षा
US and Israeli forces initiated major airstrikes against Iran on February 28, 2026, targeting military sites, nuclear facilities, and leadership, escalating into a conflict involving over 13,000 US-led strikes by early April. A ceasefire took effect around April 7, with US officials confirming the halt of offensive operations while maintaining defensive postures and regional presence; US CENTCOM declared Iran had suffered a "generational military defeat," suppressing its missile capabilities and disrupting supply lines. No verified new strikes on Iranian soil have occurred since, driving trader consensus toward near-term resolution dates, though uncertainties linger from potential IRGC retaliation, Strait of Hormuz tensions, and Pakistan-mediated nuclear talks that could solidify de-escalation or prompt resumption.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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