Recent indirect US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad concluded last weekend without a nuclear deal but yielded progress on a US proposal for a 20-year suspension of Iran's uranium enrichment in exchange for sanctions relief and regional de-escalation, elevating trader consensus to 58.5% odds of an agreement by June 30. A second round of talks is expected this week, spurred by Pakistani mediation and a Pakistani delegation's visit to Tehran amid US naval blockades of Iranian ports, strike warnings from officials like Pete Hegseth, and ceasefire pressures. Persistent gaps on verification, facility access, and broader security commitments temper optimism, reflecting the fragmented Iranian negotiating team and high-stakes diplomacy.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 जून तक अमेरिका - ईरान परमाणु समझौता?
30 जून तक अमेरिका - ईरान परमाणु समझौता?
हाँ
$1,164,618 वॉल्यूम
$1,164,618 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
हाँ
$1,164,618 वॉल्यूम
$1,164,618 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent indirect US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad concluded last weekend without a nuclear deal but yielded progress on a US proposal for a 20-year suspension of Iran's uranium enrichment in exchange for sanctions relief and regional de-escalation, elevating trader consensus to 58.5% odds of an agreement by June 30. A second round of talks is expected this week, spurred by Pakistani mediation and a Pakistani delegation's visit to Tehran amid US naval blockades of Iranian ports, strike warnings from officials like Pete Hegseth, and ceasefire pressures. Persistent gaps on verification, facility access, and broader security commitments temper optimism, reflecting the fragmented Iranian negotiating team and high-stakes diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,164,618समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent indirect US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad concluded last weekend without a nuclear deal but yielded progress on a US proposal for a 20-year suspension of Iran's uranium enrichment in exchange for sanctions relief and regional de-escalation, elevating trader consensus to 58.5% odds of an agreement by June 30. A second round of talks is expected this week, spurred by Pakistani mediation and a Pakistani delegation's visit to Tehran amid US naval blockades of Iranian ports, strike warnings from officials like Pete Hegseth, and ceasefire pressures. Persistent gaps on verification, facility access, and broader security commitments temper optimism, reflecting the fragmented Iranian negotiating team and high-stakes diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
वॉल्यूम
$1,164,618समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent indirect US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad concluded last weekend without a nuclear deal but yielded progress on a US proposal for a 20-year suspension of Iran's uranium enrichment in exchange for sanctions relief and regional de-escalation, elevating trader consensus to 58.5% odds of an agreement by June 30. A second round of talks is expected this week, spurred by Pakistani mediation and a Pakistani delegation's visit to Tehran amid US naval blockades of Iranian ports, strike warnings from officials like Pete Hegseth, and ceasefire pressures. Persistent gaps on verification, facility access, and broader security commitments temper optimism, reflecting the fragmented Iranian negotiating team and high-stakes diplomacy.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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