Trader consensus heavily favors Civil Contract at 89.5% implied probability to win Armenia's June 7 parliamentary elections under the proportional representation system, driven by the latest EVN Report survey from late March showing the incumbent party strengthening with Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's approval rising to 47% amid improved public views on security, economy, and foreign policy—bolstered by U.S. Vice President Vance's visit, the TRIPP initiative, and peace progress with Azerbaijan. Opposition remains fragmented, with Armenia Alliance at 6% trailing far behind polls' sub-threshold levels, Prosperous Armenia stagnant, and newer entrants like Strong Armenia failing to consolidate support despite debates. Undecided voters lean incumbent, though late scandals or turnout shifts could narrow the gap for a coalition scenario.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoContratto Civile 89%
Alleanza Armenia 6%
Armenia Prospera 2.4%
Heritage 2.2%
$103,314 Vol.
$103,314 Vol.
7 giu 2026
Contratto Civile
89%
Alleanza Armenia
6%
Armenia Prospera
2%
Heritage
2%
Congresso Nazionale Armeno
2%
Orinats Yerkir
2%
Armenia Luminosa
1%
Alleanza Ho l'Onore
1%
Partito Hanrapetutyun
1%
Contratto Civile 89%
Alleanza Armenia 6%
Armenia Prospera 2.4%
Heritage 2.2%
$103,314 Vol.
$103,314 Vol.
7 giu 2026
Contratto Civile
$41,427 Vol.
89%
Alleanza Armenia
$49,639 Vol.
6%
Armenia Prospera
$1,554 Vol.
2%
Heritage
$1,761 Vol.
2%
Congresso Nazionale Armeno
$2,006 Vol.
2%
Orinats Yerkir
$1,807 Vol.
2%
Armenia Luminosa
$2,248 Vol.
1%
Alleanza Ho l'Onore
$1,405 Vol.
1%
Partito Hanrapetutyun
$1,468 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Trader consensus heavily favors Civil Contract at 89.5% implied probability to win Armenia's June 7 parliamentary elections under the proportional representation system, driven by the latest EVN Report survey from late March showing the incumbent party strengthening with Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's approval rising to 47% amid improved public views on security, economy, and foreign policy—bolstered by U.S. Vice President Vance's visit, the TRIPP initiative, and peace progress with Azerbaijan. Opposition remains fragmented, with Armenia Alliance at 6% trailing far behind polls' sub-threshold levels, Prosperous Armenia stagnant, and newer entrants like Strong Armenia failing to consolidate support despite debates. Undecided voters lean incumbent, though late scandals or turnout shifts could narrow the gap for a coalition scenario.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Volume
$103,314Data di fine
7 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Trader consensus heavily favors Civil Contract at 89.5% implied probability to win Armenia's June 7 parliamentary elections under the proportional representation system, driven by the latest EVN Report survey from late March showing the incumbent party strengthening with Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's approval rising to 47% amid improved public views on security, economy, and foreign policy—bolstered by U.S. Vice President Vance's visit, the TRIPP initiative, and peace progress with Azerbaijan. Opposition remains fragmented, with Armenia Alliance at 6% trailing far behind polls' sub-threshold levels, Prosperous Armenia stagnant, and newer entrants like Strong Armenia failing to consolidate support despite debates. Undecided voters lean incumbent, though late scandals or turnout shifts could narrow the gap for a coalition scenario.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Volume
$103,314Data di fine
7 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Civil Contract at 89.5% implied probability to win Armenia's June 7 parliamentary elections under the proportional representation system, driven by the latest EVN Report survey from late March showing the incumbent party strengthening with Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's approval rising to 47% amid improved public views on security, economy, and foreign policy—bolstered by U.S. Vice President Vance's visit, the TRIPP initiative, and peace progress with Azerbaijan. Opposition remains fragmented, with Armenia Alliance at 6% trailing far behind polls' sub-threshold levels, Prosperous Armenia stagnant, and newer entrants like Strong Armenia failing to consolidate support despite debates. Undecided voters lean incumbent, though late scandals or turnout shifts could narrow the gap for a coalition scenario.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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