Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands a dominant position in trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's National Assembly under proportional representation, reflecting consistent polling leads ahead of the April 19 snap election—its eighth since 2021. Recent surveys, including a fresh poll showing PB at 32% (projecting 90 of 240 seats) versus GERB-SDS at around 23%, underscore voter fatigue with political instability, oligarchic influence allegations, and Radev's anti-corruption platform. Interim Prime Minister Andrey Gyurov's vows for stricter vote-buying crackdowns and seizures of counterfeit euros targeting electoral interference further solidify market confidence in a clean vote. Realistic challenges include a late GERB-SDS surge via mobilization in strongholds, abnormally low turnout favoring established parties, or substantiated fraud claims, though polls suggest scant risk of upset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPB 97.5%
GERB–SDS 1.3%
PP–DB <1%
DPS <1%
$201,860 Vol.
$201,860 Vol.
19 apr 2026
PB
98%
GERB–SDS
1%
PP–DB
1%
DPS
<1%
ITN
<1%
Velichie
<1%
APS
<1%
BSP-Sinistra Unita
<1%
MECH
<1%
Vazrazhdane
<1%
PB 97.5%
GERB–SDS 1.3%
PP–DB <1%
DPS <1%
$201,860 Vol.
$201,860 Vol.
19 apr 2026
PB
$73,664 Vol.
98%
GERB–SDS
$29,239 Vol.
1%
PP–DB
$27,885 Vol.
1%
DPS
$4,252 Vol.
<1%
ITN
$11,889 Vol.
<1%
Velichie
$15,738 Vol.
<1%
APS
$11,608 Vol.
<1%
BSP-Sinistra Unita
$7,898 Vol.
<1%
MECH
$10,144 Vol.
<1%
Vazrazhdane
$9,543 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands a dominant position in trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's National Assembly under proportional representation, reflecting consistent polling leads ahead of the April 19 snap election—its eighth since 2021. Recent surveys, including a fresh poll showing PB at 32% (projecting 90 of 240 seats) versus GERB-SDS at around 23%, underscore voter fatigue with political instability, oligarchic influence allegations, and Radev's anti-corruption platform. Interim Prime Minister Andrey Gyurov's vows for stricter vote-buying crackdowns and seizures of counterfeit euros targeting electoral interference further solidify market confidence in a clean vote. Realistic challenges include a late GERB-SDS surge via mobilization in strongholds, abnormally low turnout favoring established parties, or substantiated fraud claims, though polls suggest scant risk of upset.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Mercato aperto: Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Volume
$201,860Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands a dominant position in trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's National Assembly under proportional representation, reflecting consistent polling leads ahead of the April 19 snap election—its eighth since 2021. Recent surveys, including a fresh poll showing PB at 32% (projecting 90 of 240 seats) versus GERB-SDS at around 23%, underscore voter fatigue with political instability, oligarchic influence allegations, and Radev's anti-corruption platform. Interim Prime Minister Andrey Gyurov's vows for stricter vote-buying crackdowns and seizures of counterfeit euros targeting electoral interference further solidify market confidence in a clean vote. Realistic challenges include a late GERB-SDS surge via mobilization in strongholds, abnormally low turnout favoring established parties, or substantiated fraud claims, though polls suggest scant risk of upset.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$201,860Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands a dominant position in trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's National Assembly under proportional representation, reflecting consistent polling leads ahead of the April 19 snap election—its eighth since 2021. Recent surveys, including a fresh poll showing PB at 32% (projecting 90 of 240 seats) versus GERB-SDS at around 23%, underscore voter fatigue with political instability, oligarchic influence allegations, and Radev's anti-corruption platform. Interim Prime Minister Andrey Gyurov's vows for stricter vote-buying crackdowns and seizures of counterfeit euros targeting electoral interference further solidify market confidence in a clean vote. Realistic challenges include a late GERB-SDS surge via mobilization in strongholds, abnormally low turnout favoring established parties, or substantiated fraud claims, though polls suggest scant risk of upset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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