Park Soo-hyun's 91% implied probability as the Democratic Party of Korea nominee reflects her dominant April 15 runoff primary win over former Governor Yang Seung-jo, securing unified party backing for the June 3 Chungcheongnam-do gubernatorial election against incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Tae-heum. This fresh catalyst has driven trader consensus, amplified by opposition momentum in local polls and historical midterm patterns favoring challengers in competitive provinces like Chungcheongnam-do. With the general campaign now underway, her lead underscores skin-in-the-game assessments of voter turnout and national trends, though late scandals, health issues, legal challenges, or incumbent surges could still shift dynamics before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni per il governatore della provincia di Chungcheongnam
Vincitore delle elezioni per il governatore della provincia di Chungcheongnam
Park Soo-hyun 91.2%
Yang Seung-jo 1.3%
Sung Il-jong 1.3%
Kim Tae-heum 1.2%
$976,072 Vol.
$976,072 Vol.
Park Soo-hyun
91%
Yang Seung-jo
1%
Sung Il-jong
1%
Kim Tae-heum
1%
Kang Seung-kyu
<1%
Moon Jin-seok
<1%
Chung Jin-suk
<1%
Kang Hoon-sik
<1%
Yoon Sang-hyun
<1%
Park Soo-hyun 91.2%
Yang Seung-jo 1.3%
Sung Il-jong 1.3%
Kim Tae-heum 1.2%
$976,072 Vol.
$976,072 Vol.
Park Soo-hyun
91%
Yang Seung-jo
1%
Sung Il-jong
1%
Kim Tae-heum
1%
Kang Seung-kyu
<1%
Moon Jin-seok
<1%
Chung Jin-suk
<1%
Kang Hoon-sik
<1%
Yoon Sang-hyun
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Mercato aperto: Nov 18, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Park Soo-hyun's 91% implied probability as the Democratic Party of Korea nominee reflects her dominant April 15 runoff primary win over former Governor Yang Seung-jo, securing unified party backing for the June 3 Chungcheongnam-do gubernatorial election against incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Tae-heum. This fresh catalyst has driven trader consensus, amplified by opposition momentum in local polls and historical midterm patterns favoring challengers in competitive provinces like Chungcheongnam-do. With the general campaign now underway, her lead underscores skin-in-the-game assessments of voter turnout and national trends, though late scandals, health issues, legal challenges, or incumbent surges could still shift dynamics before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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