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icon for Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?
Politica·Elezioni In Colombia

Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?

icon for Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?
Politica·Elezioni In Colombia

Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?

57-60% 100.0%

<48% <1%

48-51% <1%

51-54% <1%

Polymarket

$24,146 Vol.

57-60% 100.0%

<48% <1%

48-51% <1%

51-54% <1%

Polymarket

$24,146 Vol.

<48%

$2,766 Vol.

No

48-51%

$2,170 Vol.

No

51-54%

$2,687 Vol.

No

54-57%

$2,923 Vol.

No

57-60%

$9,570 Vol.

Yes

60%+

$4,031 Vol.

No

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).**The first round of Colombia’s 2026 presidential election on May 31 produced a certified turnout of 57.89 percent, with roughly 24 million votes cast from an electorate of about 41.4 million registered voters.** This level of participation—the highest in recent cycles—reflects intense polarization between the top two candidates, Abelardo de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda, which mobilized voters across key regions and demographics. Official results from Colombia’s electoral authorities placed the figure squarely inside the 57-60 percent band, aligning with pre-election expectations of elevated engagement compared with historical averages of 40-55 percent. The market’s strong consensus on this range follows directly from the rapid count and subsequent certification process. A material shift would require an unusually large adjustment through recounts, widespread invalidation of ballots, or disputes over the final registry, none of which have materialized in the certified data. The upcoming June 21 runoff may see higher turnout, but that does not affect resolution of the first-round market.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$24,146
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).**The first round of Colombia’s 2026 presidential election on May 31 produced a certified turnout of 57.89 percent, with roughly 24 million votes cast from an electorate of about 41.4 million registered voters.** This level of participation—the highest in recent cycles—reflects intense polarization between the top two candidates, Abelardo de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda, which mobilized voters across key regions and demographics. Official results from Colombia’s electoral authorities placed the figure squarely inside the 57-60 percent band, aligning with pre-election expectations of elevated engagement compared with historical averages of 40-55 percent. The market’s strong consensus on this range follows directly from the rapid count and subsequent certification process. A material shift would require an unusually large adjustment through recounts, widespread invalidation of ballots, or disputes over the final registry, none of which have materialized in the certified data. The upcoming June 21 runoff may see higher turnout, but that does not affect resolution of the first-round market.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$24,146
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

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Domande frequenti

"Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "57-60%" a 100%, seguito da "<48%" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?" ha generato $24.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 21, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?" è "57-60%" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "<48%" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.