Incumbent Republican Greg Steube faces Democrat Matthew Montavon and independent Michael Quirk in Florida’s 17th congressional district on November 3, with the race rated Safe or Solid Republican by forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The district’s R+10 Cook PVI and consistent Republican margins—Trump carried it by roughly 22 points in 2024 and Steube won 63.9 percent that year—underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP. Recent redistricting preserved its conservative character along the southwest coast, while Steube’s uncontested Republican primary and substantial fundraising edge reinforce the position. A Democratic upset would require unusually high opposition turnout or late-breaking developments such as major scandals or national headwinds strong enough to overcome the structural partisan gap.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFL-17 House Election Winner
FL-17 House Election Winner
$15,845 Vol.
$15,845 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
$15,845 Vol.
$15,845 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$8,211 Vol.
91%
Democratic Party
$7,634 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Steube faces Democrat Matthew Montavon and independent Michael Quirk in Florida’s 17th congressional district on November 3, with the race rated Safe or Solid Republican by forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The district’s R+10 Cook PVI and consistent Republican margins—Trump carried it by roughly 22 points in 2024 and Steube won 63.9 percent that year—underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP. Recent redistricting preserved its conservative character along the southwest coast, while Steube’s uncontested Republican primary and substantial fundraising edge reinforce the position. A Democratic upset would require unusually high opposition turnout or late-breaking developments such as major scandals or national headwinds strong enough to overcome the structural partisan gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$15,845Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Steube faces Democrat Matthew Montavon and independent Michael Quirk in Florida’s 17th congressional district on November 3, with the race rated Safe or Solid Republican by forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The district’s R+10 Cook PVI and consistent Republican margins—Trump carried it by roughly 22 points in 2024 and Steube won 63.9 percent that year—underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP. Recent redistricting preserved its conservative character along the southwest coast, while Steube’s uncontested Republican primary and substantial fundraising edge reinforce the position. A Democratic upset would require unusually high opposition turnout or late-breaking developments such as major scandals or national headwinds strong enough to overcome the structural partisan gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,845Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Steube faces Democrat Matthew Montavon and independent Michael Quirk in Florida’s 17th congressional district on November 3, with the race rated Safe or Solid Republican by forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The district’s R+10 Cook PVI and consistent Republican margins—Trump carried it by roughly 22 points in 2024 and Steube won 63.9 percent that year—underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP. Recent redistricting preserved its conservative character along the southwest coast, while Steube’s uncontested Republican primary and substantial fundraising edge reinforce the position. A Democratic upset would require unusually high opposition turnout or late-breaking developments such as major scandals or national headwinds strong enough to overcome the structural partisan gap.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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