Traders have overwhelmingly positioned on a lowest temperature of 12°C or below for Jinan on September 10, reflecting consensus from the latest model runs and observational data showing clear skies and northerly flow allowing radiational cooling overnight. With highs forecast near 27–28°C under mostly sunny conditions, the temperature drop after sunset aligns with typical early-autumn patterns in the North China Plain, where dew points in the low teens support minima around or below the threshold. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes low wind speeds and minimal cloud cover as key factors enhancing cooling rates. While ensemble models carry some spread due to boundary-layer uncertainties, the probability of warmer readings above 14°C remains low absent unexpected moisture advection or wind shifts before dawn. Final resolution hinges on the verified minimum from local stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Jinan il 10 settembre?
12°C o inferiore 99%
17°C 2%
18°C 2%
19°C 2%
12°C o inferiore
99%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o superiore
<1%
12°C o inferiore 99%
17°C 2%
18°C 2%
19°C 2%
12°C o inferiore
99%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o superiore
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Traders have overwhelmingly positioned on a lowest temperature of 12°C or below for Jinan on September 10, reflecting consensus from the latest model runs and observational data showing clear skies and northerly flow allowing radiational cooling overnight. With highs forecast near 27–28°C under mostly sunny conditions, the temperature drop after sunset aligns with typical early-autumn patterns in the North China Plain, where dew points in the low teens support minima around or below the threshold. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes low wind speeds and minimal cloud cover as key factors enhancing cooling rates. While ensemble models carry some spread due to boundary-layer uncertainties, the probability of warmer readings above 14°C remains low absent unexpected moisture advection or wind shifts before dawn. Final resolution hinges on the verified minimum from local stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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