**Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination in Minnesota’s 5th Congressional District with over 80% of the primary vote on August 11, 2026, facing only modest opposition from four challengers.** The Minneapolis-centered district remains the most Democratic in the state and among the safest nationwide, with consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ. Omar’s prior general-election margins exceeded 50 points, and fundraising and endorsements from state Democratic leaders have reinforced her position ahead of the November 3 general election against Republican nominee John Nagel and independent DeVelle Jackson. Trader consensus at 97.4% for the Democratic nominee reflects the district’s entrenched partisan lean, the absence of competitive primary threats, and the structural barriers facing Republican candidates in this urban, heavily Democratic area. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal, health crisis, or dramatic national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s baseline Democratic advantage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMN-05 House Election Winner
MN-05 House Election Winner
$48,606 Vol.
$48,606 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
1%
$48,606 Vol.
$48,606 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$18,221 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$30,385 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination in Minnesota’s 5th Congressional District with over 80% of the primary vote on August 11, 2026, facing only modest opposition from four challengers.** The Minneapolis-centered district remains the most Democratic in the state and among the safest nationwide, with consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ. Omar’s prior general-election margins exceeded 50 points, and fundraising and endorsements from state Democratic leaders have reinforced her position ahead of the November 3 general election against Republican nominee John Nagel and independent DeVelle Jackson.
Trader consensus at 97.4% for the Democratic nominee reflects the district’s entrenched partisan lean, the absence of competitive primary threats, and the structural barriers facing Republican candidates in this urban, heavily Democratic area. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal, health crisis, or dramatic national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s baseline Democratic advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$48,606Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination in Minnesota’s 5th Congressional District with over 80% of the primary vote on August 11, 2026, facing only modest opposition from four challengers.** The Minneapolis-centered district remains the most Democratic in the state and among the safest nationwide, with consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ. Omar’s prior general-election margins exceeded 50 points, and fundraising and endorsements from state Democratic leaders have reinforced her position ahead of the November 3 general election against Republican nominee John Nagel and independent DeVelle Jackson.
Trader consensus at 97.4% for the Democratic nominee reflects the district’s entrenched partisan lean, the absence of competitive primary threats, and the structural barriers facing Republican candidates in this urban, heavily Democratic area. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal, health crisis, or dramatic national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s baseline Democratic advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$48,606Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic nomination in Minnesota’s 5th Congressional District with over 80% of the primary vote on August 11, 2026, facing only modest opposition from four challengers.** The Minneapolis-centered district remains the most Democratic in the state and among the safest nationwide, with consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ. Omar’s prior general-election margins exceeded 50 points, and fundraising and endorsements from state Democratic leaders have reinforced her position ahead of the November 3 general election against Republican nominee John Nagel and independent DeVelle Jackson. Trader consensus at 97.4% for the Democratic nominee reflects the district’s entrenched partisan lean, the absence of competitive primary threats, and the structural barriers facing Republican candidates in this urban, heavily Democratic area. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal, health crisis, or dramatic national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s baseline Democratic advantage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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