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Prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Ungheria

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Prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Ungheria

Péter Magyar 98.8%

Viktor Orbán <1%

Klára Dobrev <1%

László Toroczkai <1%

Polymarket

$90,881,521 Vol.

Péter Magyar 98.8%

Viktor Orbán <1%

Klára Dobrev <1%

László Toroczkai <1%

Polymarket

$90,881,521 Vol.

Il prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Ungheria sarà Péter Magyar? icon

Péter Magyar

$20,974,911 Vol.

99%

Il prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Ungheria sarà Viktor Orbán? icon

Viktor Orbán

$24,210,273 Vol.

<1%

Il prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Ungheria sarà Klára Dobrev? icon

Klára Dobrev

$6,150,470 Vol.

<1%

Il prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Ungheria sarà László Toroczkai? icon

László Toroczkai

$13,741,971 Vol.

<1%

Il prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Ungheria sarà István Kapitány? icon

István Kapitány

$16,556,170 Vol.

<1%

Il prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Ungheria sarà János Lázár? icon

János Lázár

$9,247,726 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's Tisza Party won a supermajority in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election with record 77.8% turnout, ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule as Fidesz conceded defeat, propelling trader consensus to near-certainty at 98.9% for Magyar as next prime minister. Economic discontent and corruption allegations fueled the opposition surge, enabling Tisza to secure over two-thirds of National Assembly seats for swift government formation. President Tamás Sulyok is set to task Magyar with cabinet assembly by mid-May at parliament's inaugural session. Rare disruptions like legal challenges to results, parliamentary gridlock, or scandals could theoretically shift odds, though structural barriers make this unlikely.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$90,881,521
Data di fine
12 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Esito proposto: No

Contestato

Proposta di esito

Contestazione finale

Finale

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's Tisza Party won a supermajority in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election with record 77.8% turnout, ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule as Fidesz conceded defeat, propelling trader consensus to near-certainty at 98.9% for Magyar as next prime minister. Economic discontent and corruption allegations fueled the opposition surge, enabling Tisza to secure over two-thirds of National Assembly seats for swift government formation. President Tamás Sulyok is set to task Magyar with cabinet assembly by mid-May at parliament's inaugural session. Rare disruptions like legal challenges to results, parliamentary gridlock, or scandals could theoretically shift odds, though structural barriers make this unlikely.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$90,881,521
Data di fine
12 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Esito proposto: No

Contestato

Proposta di esito

Contestazione finale

Finale

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Ungheria" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Péter Magyar" a 99%, seguito da "Viktor Orbán" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 99¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 99% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Ungheria" ha generato $90.9 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jul 24, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Ungheria", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Ungheria" è "Péter Magyar" a 99%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 99% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Viktor Orbán" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Prossimo Primo Ministro dell'Ungheria" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.