With over 91% of first-round votes counted as of April 15 following Peru's April 12-13 presidential election, Keiko Fujimori leads at 17%, advancing to the June 7 runoff against Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12.1%), who narrowly overtook Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%) for second in the fragmented 35-candidate field. This outcome, amid ballot delivery delays that extended voting and prompted unsubstantiated fraud allegations from López Aliaga's camp—dismissed by EU and OAS observers—drives trader consensus favoring Fujimori's overall victory at 64.5% implied probability, reflecting her pre-election polling strength, prior near-wins, and appeal on security issues in Peru's unstable politics. Sánchez and López Aliaga trail as potential runoff foes with competitive but lower win odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù
Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù
Keiko Fujimori 65%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 17.8%
Rafael López Aliaga 17%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$31,957,092 Vol.
$31,957,092 Vol.
Keiko Fujimori
65%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
18%
Rafael López Aliaga
17%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
José Luna
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 65%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 17.8%
Rafael López Aliaga 17%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$31,957,092 Vol.
$31,957,092 Vol.
Keiko Fujimori
65%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
18%
Rafael López Aliaga
17%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
José Luna
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With over 91% of first-round votes counted as of April 15 following Peru's April 12-13 presidential election, Keiko Fujimori leads at 17%, advancing to the June 7 runoff against Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12.1%), who narrowly overtook Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%) for second in the fragmented 35-candidate field. This outcome, amid ballot delivery delays that extended voting and prompted unsubstantiated fraud allegations from López Aliaga's camp—dismissed by EU and OAS observers—drives trader consensus favoring Fujimori's overall victory at 64.5% implied probability, reflecting her pre-election polling strength, prior near-wins, and appeal on security issues in Peru's unstable politics. Sánchez and López Aliaga trail as potential runoff foes with competitive but lower win odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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