Keiko Fujimori's commanding lead in Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential vote, with 17% of preliminary tallies at over 91% counted as of April 15, positions her for the June 7 runoff against surging left-wing challenger Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 12%, edging out Rafael López Aliaga's 11.9%. Traders price Fujimori as a 64.5% implied probability to win outright, reflecting her historical near-victories in prior runoffs amid Peru's fragmented field of 35 candidates and no outright majority. López Aliaga's fraud allegations and calls to suspend results have sparked protests but lack substantiation from EU observers, keeping his odds viable at 17.5% pending final certification by the National Jury of Elections. Slow vote counts due to ballot delays mirror 2021 patterns, heightening uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù
Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù
Keiko Fujimori 65%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 16.6%
Rafael López Aliaga 17%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$31,601,927 Vol.
$31,601,927 Vol.
Keiko Fujimori
65%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
17%
Rafael López Aliaga
17%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
José Luna
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 65%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 16.6%
Rafael López Aliaga 17%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$31,601,927 Vol.
$31,601,927 Vol.
Keiko Fujimori
65%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
17%
Rafael López Aliaga
17%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
José Luna
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Keiko Fujimori's commanding lead in Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential vote, with 17% of preliminary tallies at over 91% counted as of April 15, positions her for the June 7 runoff against surging left-wing challenger Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 12%, edging out Rafael López Aliaga's 11.9%. Traders price Fujimori as a 64.5% implied probability to win outright, reflecting her historical near-victories in prior runoffs amid Peru's fragmented field of 35 candidates and no outright majority. López Aliaga's fraud allegations and calls to suspend results have sparked protests but lack substantiation from EU observers, keeping his odds viable at 17.5% pending final certification by the National Jury of Elections. Slow vote counts due to ballot delays mirror 2021 patterns, heightening uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti