Incumbent DMK alliance under Chief Minister M.K. Stalin commands 80% trader consensus for victory in the April 23 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election, fueled by recent opinion polls like Lokpol (April 2) and Poll Tracker projecting 170-189 seats with 41-43% vote share, reflecting pro-incumbency from welfare schemes and alliance cohesion with INC, CPI, and CPI(M). ADMK-led NDA trails at 15%, hampered by internal divisions despite BJP support and select surveys like IPDS showing an edge, while TVK's 4.5% captures actor Vijay's solo debut appeal among youth voters, potentially splitting opposition votes per ABP Nadu projections of just 5 seats. Manifestos released April 7 emphasize competing promises on freebies and development, with final campaigning intensifying amid Election Commission exit poll curbs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea legislativa del Tamil Nadu
Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea legislativa del Tamil Nadu
DMK 80%
ADMK 15.3%
TVK 4.5%
AITC <1%
$351,172 Vol.
$351,172 Vol.
23 apr 2026
DMK
80%
ADMK
15%
TVK
5%
AITC
<1%
CPI(M)
<1%
DMDK
<1%
BSP
<1%
CPI
<1%
INC
<1%
NPEP
<1%
BJP
<1%
NCP
<1%
DMK 80%
ADMK 15.3%
TVK 4.5%
AITC <1%
$351,172 Vol.
$351,172 Vol.
23 apr 2026
DMK
$51,819 Vol.
80%
ADMK
$45,855 Vol.
15%
TVK
$72,742 Vol.
5%
AITC
$19,827 Vol.
<1%
CPI(M)
$38,302 Vol.
<1%
DMDK
$12,329 Vol.
<1%
BSP
$12,144 Vol.
<1%
CPI
$13,064 Vol.
<1%
INC
$34,415 Vol.
<1%
NPEP
$12,372 Vol.
<1%
BJP
$21,158 Vol.
<1%
NCP
$17,147 Vol.
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Incumbent DMK alliance under Chief Minister M.K. Stalin commands 80% trader consensus for victory in the April 23 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election, fueled by recent opinion polls like Lokpol (April 2) and Poll Tracker projecting 170-189 seats with 41-43% vote share, reflecting pro-incumbency from welfare schemes and alliance cohesion with INC, CPI, and CPI(M). ADMK-led NDA trails at 15%, hampered by internal divisions despite BJP support and select surveys like IPDS showing an edge, while TVK's 4.5% captures actor Vijay's solo debut appeal among youth voters, potentially splitting opposition votes per ABP Nadu projections of just 5 seats. Manifestos released April 7 emphasize competing promises on freebies and development, with final campaigning intensifying amid Election Commission exit poll curbs.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Mercato aperto: Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ET
Volume
$351,172Data di fine
23 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Incumbent DMK alliance under Chief Minister M.K. Stalin commands 80% trader consensus for victory in the April 23 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election, fueled by recent opinion polls like Lokpol (April 2) and Poll Tracker projecting 170-189 seats with 41-43% vote share, reflecting pro-incumbency from welfare schemes and alliance cohesion with INC, CPI, and CPI(M). ADMK-led NDA trails at 15%, hampered by internal divisions despite BJP support and select surveys like IPDS showing an edge, while TVK's 4.5% captures actor Vijay's solo debut appeal among youth voters, potentially splitting opposition votes per ABP Nadu projections of just 5 seats. Manifestos released April 7 emphasize competing promises on freebies and development, with final campaigning intensifying amid Election Commission exit poll curbs.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Volume
$351,172Data di fine
23 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent DMK alliance under Chief Minister M.K. Stalin commands 80% trader consensus for victory in the April 23 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election, fueled by recent opinion polls like Lokpol (April 2) and Poll Tracker projecting 170-189 seats with 41-43% vote share, reflecting pro-incumbency from welfare schemes and alliance cohesion with INC, CPI, and CPI(M). ADMK-led NDA trails at 15%, hampered by internal divisions despite BJP support and select surveys like IPDS showing an edge, while TVK's 4.5% captures actor Vijay's solo debut appeal among youth voters, potentially splitting opposition votes per ABP Nadu projections of just 5 seats. Manifestos released April 7 emphasize competing promises on freebies and development, with final campaigning intensifying amid Election Commission exit poll curbs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti