Traders price AITC at 59% and BJP at 41% for the West Bengal Legislative Assembly winner ahead of the two-phase polls on April 23 and 29, reflecting opinion polls like VoteVibe's projection of 174-184 seats for the incumbent Trinamool Congress versus BJP's gains to 100-130 seats in surveys such as IANS-MATRIZE. Recent catalysts include Prime Minister Modi's April 12 rally in Siliguri emphasizing development in north Bengal, where BJP shows strength, alongside voter roll purges via the SIR process sparking TMC-led protests and opposition accusations of disenfranchisement. Anti-incumbency challenges Mamata Banerjee's rural base and female voter support, but urban Kolkata shifts and national BJP momentum keep the contest tight in this 294-seat house.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea legislativa del Bengala Occidentale
Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea legislativa del Bengala Occidentale
AITC 59.3%
BJP 39.1%
CPI <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$1,883,617 Vol.
$1,883,617 Vol.
29 apr 2026
AITC
59%
BJP
39%
CPI
<1%
CPI(M)
<1%
INC
<1%
BGPM
<1%
AITC 59.3%
BJP 39.1%
CPI <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$1,883,617 Vol.
$1,883,617 Vol.
29 apr 2026
AITC
$99,881 Vol.
59%
BJP
$150,949 Vol.
39%
CPI
$792,255 Vol.
<1%
CPI(M)
$27,185 Vol.
<1%
INC
$21,707 Vol.
<1%
BGPM
$791,772 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Traders price AITC at 59% and BJP at 41% for the West Bengal Legislative Assembly winner ahead of the two-phase polls on April 23 and 29, reflecting opinion polls like VoteVibe's projection of 174-184 seats for the incumbent Trinamool Congress versus BJP's gains to 100-130 seats in surveys such as IANS-MATRIZE. Recent catalysts include Prime Minister Modi's April 12 rally in Siliguri emphasizing development in north Bengal, where BJP shows strength, alongside voter roll purges via the SIR process sparking TMC-led protests and opposition accusations of disenfranchisement. Anti-incumbency challenges Mamata Banerjee's rural base and female voter support, but urban Kolkata shifts and national BJP momentum keep the contest tight in this 294-seat house.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Mercato aperto: Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ET
Volume
$1,883,617Data di fine
29 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Traders price AITC at 59% and BJP at 41% for the West Bengal Legislative Assembly winner ahead of the two-phase polls on April 23 and 29, reflecting opinion polls like VoteVibe's projection of 174-184 seats for the incumbent Trinamool Congress versus BJP's gains to 100-130 seats in surveys such as IANS-MATRIZE. Recent catalysts include Prime Minister Modi's April 12 rally in Siliguri emphasizing development in north Bengal, where BJP shows strength, alongside voter roll purges via the SIR process sparking TMC-led protests and opposition accusations of disenfranchisement. Anti-incumbency challenges Mamata Banerjee's rural base and female voter support, but urban Kolkata shifts and national BJP momentum keep the contest tight in this 294-seat house.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Volume
$1,883,617Data di fine
29 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders price AITC at 59% and BJP at 41% for the West Bengal Legislative Assembly winner ahead of the two-phase polls on April 23 and 29, reflecting opinion polls like VoteVibe's projection of 174-184 seats for the incumbent Trinamool Congress versus BJP's gains to 100-130 seats in surveys such as IANS-MATRIZE. Recent catalysts include Prime Minister Modi's April 12 rally in Siliguri emphasizing development in north Bengal, where BJP shows strength, alongside voter roll purges via the SIR process sparking TMC-led protests and opposition accusations of disenfranchisement. Anti-incumbency challenges Mamata Banerjee's rural base and female voter support, but urban Kolkata shifts and national BJP momentum keep the contest tight in this 294-seat house.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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