Recent PAGASA and AccuWeather forecasts for Manila on August 8 point to a daytime high near 29–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity limiting solar heating and peak temperatures. This aligns with climatological norms for early August, when average highs hover around 30–31°C but frequent rainfall and easterly winds often cap extremes. Trader consensus favoring 29°C reflects these model outputs and the low probability of clear, stable conditions needed for 32°C-plus readings, while the spread to 28°C or 30°C accounts for minor forecast adjustments or localized variations before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日のマニラの最高気温は?
29°C 47%
30℃ 28%
28°C 23%
31°C 7%
24°C以下
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27℃
4%
28°C
23%
29°C
47%
30℃
28%
31°C
7%
32℃
1%
33℃
1%
34℃以上
<1%
29°C 47%
30℃ 28%
28°C 23%
31°C 7%
24°C以下
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27℃
4%
28°C
23%
29°C
47%
30℃
28%
31°C
7%
32℃
1%
33℃
1%
34℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent PAGASA and AccuWeather forecasts for Manila on August 8 point to a daytime high near 29–31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity limiting solar heating and peak temperatures. This aligns with climatological norms for early August, when average highs hover around 30–31°C but frequent rainfall and easterly winds often cap extremes. Trader consensus favoring 29°C reflects these model outputs and the low probability of clear, stable conditions needed for 32°C-plus readings, while the spread to 28°C or 30°C accounts for minor forecast adjustments or localized variations before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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