No known near-Earth objects large enough to produce a 5-kiloton airburst are on collision trajectories for 2026, according to NASA’s Center for Near-Earth Object Studies and ESA monitoring. Close approaches by asteroids such as 2026 JH2 and others have passed harmlessly at lunar distances or beyond, with no impact probabilities exceeding negligible levels on official risk lists. Historical rates show 5kt-scale events occur infrequently, roughly once every few decades, and the first half of 2026 has seen only smaller fireballs without reaching this energy threshold. Trader consensus reflects this absence of credible threats and continued planetary defense surveillance.