Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Beijing's highest temperature on April 17 at 23-24°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, driving trader consensus toward these tightly clustered outcomes with 28% implied probability for 24°C and 25.5% for 23°C. Yesterday's observed 23°C peak gave way to today's cooler 17°C high amid rain and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, but anticipated clearing tomorrow boosts solar insolation potential while lingering soil moisture and frontal influences cap extremes. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud variability—thicker cover favors 22°C (20% odds), fuller sun pushes toward 25°C (18.5%)—against mid-April climatological averages of 21-22°C. Monitor CMA's evening update for refined guidance ahead of official station measurements resolving the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Beijing on April 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 17?
24°C 29%
23°C 25%
22°C 19%
25°C 19%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
21°C or below
5%
22°C
19%
23°C
25%
24°C
29%
25°C
19%
26°C
9%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 29%
23°C 25%
22°C 19%
25°C 19%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
21°C or below
$688 거래량
5%
22°C
$454 거래량
19%
23°C
$233 거래량
25%
24°C
$344 거래량
29%
25°C
$420 거래량
19%
26°C
$1,061 거래량
9%
27°C
$635 거래량
4%
28°C
$1,578 거래량
2%
29°C
$874 거래량
1%
30°C
$931 거래량
<1%
31°C or higher
$721 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Beijing's highest temperature on April 17 at 23-24°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, driving trader consensus toward these tightly clustered outcomes with 28% implied probability for 24°C and 25.5% for 23°C. Yesterday's observed 23°C peak gave way to today's cooler 17°C high amid rain and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, but anticipated clearing tomorrow boosts solar insolation potential while lingering soil moisture and frontal influences cap extremes. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud variability—thicker cover favors 22°C (20% odds), fuller sun pushes toward 25°C (18.5%)—against mid-April climatological averages of 21-22°C. Monitor CMA's evening update for refined guidance ahead of official station measurements resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ET
거래량
$7,910종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Beijing's highest temperature on April 17 at 23-24°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, driving trader consensus toward these tightly clustered outcomes with 28% implied probability for 24°C and 25.5% for 23°C. Yesterday's observed 23°C peak gave way to today's cooler 17°C high amid rain and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, but anticipated clearing tomorrow boosts solar insolation potential while lingering soil moisture and frontal influences cap extremes. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud variability—thicker cover favors 22°C (20% odds), fuller sun pushes toward 25°C (18.5%)—against mid-April climatological averages of 21-22°C. Monitor CMA's evening update for refined guidance ahead of official station measurements resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$7,910종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ETLatest China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Beijing's highest temperature on April 17 at 23-24°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, driving trader consensus toward these tightly clustered outcomes with 28% implied probability for 24°C and 25.5% for 23°C. Yesterday's observed 23°C peak gave way to today's cooler 17°C high amid rain and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, but anticipated clearing tomorrow boosts solar insolation potential while lingering soil moisture and frontal influences cap extremes. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud variability—thicker cover favors 22°C (20% odds), fuller sun pushes toward 25°C (18.5%)—against mid-April climatological averages of 21-22°C. Monitor CMA's evening update for refined guidance ahead of official station measurements resolving the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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