Latest ensemble forecasts from meteorological models, including those reflected in Accuweather projections, indicate Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 28-29°C, driven by a frontal system bringing 95% rain probability, widespread thunderstorms, and thick cloud cover that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. Trader sentiment shows tight competition among 26°C or below (30% implied probability), 29°C (22.5%), and 27-28°C (18% each), reflecting model disagreements on precipitation timing and intensity—earlier storms could cap peaks below 27°C, while delayed clearing might allow brief heating to 29°C. High humidity near 80% and shifting winds from the South China Sea add uncertainty; watch China Meteorological Administration updates on April 16 for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Baiyun International Airport. Historical mid-April highs average 27°C, aligning with this crowded distribution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
26°C or below 30%
29°C 20%
27°C 19%
28°C 19%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
26°C or below
30%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
27%
30°C
9%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
26°C or below 30%
29°C 20%
27°C 19%
28°C 19%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
26°C or below
$240 거래량
30%
27°C
$142 거래량
19%
28°C
$150 거래량
19%
29°C
$144 거래량
27%
30°C
$217 거래량
9%
31°C
$130 거래량
9%
32°C
$398 거래량
2%
33°C
$195 거래량
2%
34°C
$374 거래량
1%
35°C
$442 거래량
1%
36°C or higher
$486 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from meteorological models, including those reflected in Accuweather projections, indicate Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 28-29°C, driven by a frontal system bringing 95% rain probability, widespread thunderstorms, and thick cloud cover that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. Trader sentiment shows tight competition among 26°C or below (30% implied probability), 29°C (22.5%), and 27-28°C (18% each), reflecting model disagreements on precipitation timing and intensity—earlier storms could cap peaks below 27°C, while delayed clearing might allow brief heating to 29°C. High humidity near 80% and shifting winds from the South China Sea add uncertainty; watch China Meteorological Administration updates on April 16 for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Baiyun International Airport. Historical mid-April highs average 27°C, aligning with this crowded distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
거래량
$2,920종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from meteorological models, including those reflected in Accuweather projections, indicate Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 28-29°C, driven by a frontal system bringing 95% rain probability, widespread thunderstorms, and thick cloud cover that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. Trader sentiment shows tight competition among 26°C or below (30% implied probability), 29°C (22.5%), and 27-28°C (18% each), reflecting model disagreements on precipitation timing and intensity—earlier storms could cap peaks below 27°C, while delayed clearing might allow brief heating to 29°C. High humidity near 80% and shifting winds from the South China Sea add uncertainty; watch China Meteorological Administration updates on April 16 for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Baiyun International Airport. Historical mid-April highs average 27°C, aligning with this crowded distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$2,920종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from meteorological models, including those reflected in Accuweather projections, indicate Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 28-29°C, driven by a frontal system bringing 95% rain probability, widespread thunderstorms, and thick cloud cover that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. Trader sentiment shows tight competition among 26°C or below (30% implied probability), 29°C (22.5%), and 27-28°C (18% each), reflecting model disagreements on precipitation timing and intensity—earlier storms could cap peaks below 27°C, while delayed clearing might allow brief heating to 29°C. High humidity near 80% and shifting winds from the South China Sea add uncertainty; watch China Meteorological Administration updates on April 16 for refined guidance ahead of resolution at Baiyun International Airport. Historical mid-April highs average 27°C, aligning with this crowded distribution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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