The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a high of 28-30°C in Mexico City on April 17, driving trader consensus toward 29°C (33.5% implied probability) and 30°C (27%), with 28°C close behind at 18.5%. This tight clustering reflects model spread from international ensembles like those underpinning AccuWeather and Weather Underground (around 29°C), amid mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and northeasterly winds of 10-20 km/h gusting to 40 km/h. Key differentiators include afternoon insolation potential versus lingering cloud cover from nearby moisture channels, moderated by the city's 2,240-meter elevation which caps extremes—historical April highs average 26°C but recent warming trends from mid-20s support the upper range. New GFS and ECMWF runs expected overnight may sharpen probabilities before official Benito Juárez Airport measurements resolve the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
29°C 34%
30°C 29%
28°C 19%
31°C 12%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
19%
29°C
34%
30°C
29%
31°C
12%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34%
30°C 29%
28°C 19%
31°C 12%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
25°C or below
$822 거래량
<1%
26°C
$2,209 거래량
1%
27°C
$535 거래량
7%
28°C
$230 거래량
19%
29°C
$209 거래량
34%
30°C
$138 거래량
29%
31°C
$194 거래량
12%
32°C
$256 거래량
4%
33°C
$366 거래량
2%
34°C
$483 거래량
1%
35°C or higher
$1,847 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a high of 28-30°C in Mexico City on April 17, driving trader consensus toward 29°C (33.5% implied probability) and 30°C (27%), with 28°C close behind at 18.5%. This tight clustering reflects model spread from international ensembles like those underpinning AccuWeather and Weather Underground (around 29°C), amid mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and northeasterly winds of 10-20 km/h gusting to 40 km/h. Key differentiators include afternoon insolation potential versus lingering cloud cover from nearby moisture channels, moderated by the city's 2,240-meter elevation which caps extremes—historical April highs average 26°C but recent warming trends from mid-20s support the upper range. New GFS and ECMWF runs expected overnight may sharpen probabilities before official Benito Juárez Airport measurements resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
거래량
$7,286종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a high of 28-30°C in Mexico City on April 17, driving trader consensus toward 29°C (33.5% implied probability) and 30°C (27%), with 28°C close behind at 18.5%. This tight clustering reflects model spread from international ensembles like those underpinning AccuWeather and Weather Underground (around 29°C), amid mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and northeasterly winds of 10-20 km/h gusting to 40 km/h. Key differentiators include afternoon insolation potential versus lingering cloud cover from nearby moisture channels, moderated by the city's 2,240-meter elevation which caps extremes—historical April highs average 26°C but recent warming trends from mid-20s support the upper range. New GFS and ECMWF runs expected overnight may sharpen probabilities before official Benito Juárez Airport measurements resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$7,286종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETThe latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a high of 28-30°C in Mexico City on April 17, driving trader consensus toward 29°C (33.5% implied probability) and 30°C (27%), with 28°C close behind at 18.5%. This tight clustering reflects model spread from international ensembles like those underpinning AccuWeather and Weather Underground (around 29°C), amid mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and northeasterly winds of 10-20 km/h gusting to 40 km/h. Key differentiators include afternoon insolation potential versus lingering cloud cover from nearby moisture channels, moderated by the city's 2,240-meter elevation which caps extremes—historical April highs average 26°C but recent warming trends from mid-20s support the upper range. New GFS and ECMWF runs expected overnight may sharpen probabilities before official Benito Juárez Airport measurements resolve the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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