Latest INMET and CPTEC forecasts project São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 28-30°C, fueling trader consensus with 29°C (27.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 30°C (25.5%), while 28°C trails at 18%. This tight spread reflects ensemble model agreement amid warmer-than-normal April conditions—monthly means 1.5°C above the 21°C baseline—driven by persistent subtropical high-pressure ridges promoting clear skies and solar heating. Key differentiators include potential sea breeze incursions from the Atlantic moderating afternoon peaks by 1-2°C and urban heat island amplification at official measurement stations. With inherent short-range forecast uncertainty, traders eye daily updates from these agencies and global models like GFS through April 16 for pivotal shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
29°C 27%
30°C 23%
28°C 19%
31°C 16%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
12%
28°C
19%
29°C
27%
30°C
23%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 27%
30°C 23%
28°C 19%
31°C 16%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
24°C or below
$877 거래량
<1%
25°C
$896 거래량
1%
26°C
$378 거래량
3%
27°C
$414 거래량
12%
28°C
$529 거래량
19%
29°C
$314 거래량
27%
30°C
$457 거래량
23%
31°C
$401 거래량
16%
32°C
$264 거래량
4%
33°C
$338 거래량
2%
34°C or higher
$571 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest INMET and CPTEC forecasts project São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 28-30°C, fueling trader consensus with 29°C (27.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 30°C (25.5%), while 28°C trails at 18%. This tight spread reflects ensemble model agreement amid warmer-than-normal April conditions—monthly means 1.5°C above the 21°C baseline—driven by persistent subtropical high-pressure ridges promoting clear skies and solar heating. Key differentiators include potential sea breeze incursions from the Atlantic moderating afternoon peaks by 1-2°C and urban heat island amplification at official measurement stations. With inherent short-range forecast uncertainty, traders eye daily updates from these agencies and global models like GFS through April 16 for pivotal shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$5,323종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest INMET and CPTEC forecasts project São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 28-30°C, fueling trader consensus with 29°C (27.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 30°C (25.5%), while 28°C trails at 18%. This tight spread reflects ensemble model agreement amid warmer-than-normal April conditions—monthly means 1.5°C above the 21°C baseline—driven by persistent subtropical high-pressure ridges promoting clear skies and solar heating. Key differentiators include potential sea breeze incursions from the Atlantic moderating afternoon peaks by 1-2°C and urban heat island amplification at official measurement stations. With inherent short-range forecast uncertainty, traders eye daily updates from these agencies and global models like GFS through April 16 for pivotal shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$5,323종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest INMET and CPTEC forecasts project São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 28-30°C, fueling trader consensus with 29°C (27.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 30°C (25.5%), while 28°C trails at 18%. This tight spread reflects ensemble model agreement amid warmer-than-normal April conditions—monthly means 1.5°C above the 21°C baseline—driven by persistent subtropical high-pressure ridges promoting clear skies and solar heating. Key differentiators include potential sea breeze incursions from the Atlantic moderating afternoon peaks by 1-2°C and urban heat island amplification at official measurement stations. With inherent short-range forecast uncertainty, traders eye daily updates from these agencies and global models like GFS through April 16 for pivotal shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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