Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high of 56-57°F at 42% implied probability, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance showing mid-50s peaks amid persistent cool marine air influenced by an upper-level trough over the Pacific Northwest. Recent developments include a frontal passage on April 14-15 bringing showers and highs near 46-49°F, a sharp cooldown from early-week 70°F readings that prompted initial bets on warmer outcomes. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles cluster tightly around 55-59°F for April 17, with low confidence in extremes due to typical spring variability and cloud cover suppressing diurnal heating. Traders eye daily forecast updates from NOAA, as steering winds could either reinforce the cool pattern or allow slight warming if showers diminish. Historical April highs average 57°F, aligning with current positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Seattle on April 17?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 17?
56-57°F 41%
58-59°F 30%
54-55°F 21%
52-53°F 7%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
51°F or below
1%
52-53°F
7%
54-55°F
21%
56-57°F
41%
58-59°F
30%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70°F or higher
<1%
56-57°F 41%
58-59°F 30%
54-55°F 21%
52-53°F 7%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
51°F or below
$1,467 거래량
1%
52-53°F
$702 거래량
7%
54-55°F
$671 거래량
21%
56-57°F
$582 거래량
41%
58-59°F
$728 거래량
30%
60-61°F
$1,197 거래량
3%
62-63°F
$685 거래량
2%
64-65°F
$595 거래량
1%
66-67°F
$828 거래량
<1%
68-69°F
$694 거래량
<1%
70°F or higher
$886 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high of 56-57°F at 42% implied probability, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance showing mid-50s peaks amid persistent cool marine air influenced by an upper-level trough over the Pacific Northwest. Recent developments include a frontal passage on April 14-15 bringing showers and highs near 46-49°F, a sharp cooldown from early-week 70°F readings that prompted initial bets on warmer outcomes. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles cluster tightly around 55-59°F for April 17, with low confidence in extremes due to typical spring variability and cloud cover suppressing diurnal heating. Traders eye daily forecast updates from NOAA, as steering winds could either reinforce the cool pattern or allow slight warming if showers diminish. Historical April highs average 57°F, aligning with current positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
거래량
$9,035종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high of 56-57°F at 42% implied probability, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance showing mid-50s peaks amid persistent cool marine air influenced by an upper-level trough over the Pacific Northwest. Recent developments include a frontal passage on April 14-15 bringing showers and highs near 46-49°F, a sharp cooldown from early-week 70°F readings that prompted initial bets on warmer outcomes. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles cluster tightly around 55-59°F for April 17, with low confidence in extremes due to typical spring variability and cloud cover suppressing diurnal heating. Traders eye daily forecast updates from NOAA, as steering winds could either reinforce the cool pattern or allow slight warming if showers diminish. Historical April highs average 57°F, aligning with current positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$9,035종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high of 56-57°F at 42% implied probability, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance showing mid-50s peaks amid persistent cool marine air influenced by an upper-level trough over the Pacific Northwest. Recent developments include a frontal passage on April 14-15 bringing showers and highs near 46-49°F, a sharp cooldown from early-week 70°F readings that prompted initial bets on warmer outcomes. GFS and ECMWF model ensembles cluster tightly around 55-59°F for April 17, with low confidence in extremes due to typical spring variability and cloud cover suppressing diurnal heating. Traders eye daily forecast updates from NOAA, as steering winds could either reinforce the cool pattern or allow slight warming if showers diminish. Historical April highs average 57°F, aligning with current positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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