Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 15-16°C for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting afternoon peaks near 15-17°C amid a developing high-pressure ridge advecting warmer continental air over central Europe. Current observations on April 16 show daytime highs near 15°C with light winds, supporting mild conditions, while IMGW guidance indicates maximums of 12-17°C regionally. Differentiating factors include model divergences on cloud cover—ECMWF slightly more persistent partial cloudiness capping at 15°C, versus GFS clearer skies allowing 16-18°C—and boundary layer mixing efficiency. Historical April averages hover at 13°C, but this setup favors above-normal warmth; monitor IMGW station data and evening model updates for final clarity before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
15°C 34%
16°C 29%
14°C 22%
17°C or higher 11%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
8%
14°C
22%
15°C
34%
16°C
29%
17°C or higher
11%
15°C 34%
16°C 29%
14°C 22%
17°C or higher 11%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
7°C or below
$844 거래량
<1%
8°C
$1,338 거래량
<1%
9°C
$1,621 거래량
<1%
10°C
$735 거래량
1%
11°C
$1,054 거래량
1%
12°C
$544 거래량
4%
13°C
$849 거래량
8%
14°C
$444 거래량
22%
15°C
$318 거래량
34%
16°C
$531 거래량
29%
17°C or higher
$594 거래량
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 15-16°C for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting afternoon peaks near 15-17°C amid a developing high-pressure ridge advecting warmer continental air over central Europe. Current observations on April 16 show daytime highs near 15°C with light winds, supporting mild conditions, while IMGW guidance indicates maximums of 12-17°C regionally. Differentiating factors include model divergences on cloud cover—ECMWF slightly more persistent partial cloudiness capping at 15°C, versus GFS clearer skies allowing 16-18°C—and boundary layer mixing efficiency. Historical April averages hover at 13°C, but this setup favors above-normal warmth; monitor IMGW station data and evening model updates for final clarity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
거래량
$8,790종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 15-16°C for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting afternoon peaks near 15-17°C amid a developing high-pressure ridge advecting warmer continental air over central Europe. Current observations on April 16 show daytime highs near 15°C with light winds, supporting mild conditions, while IMGW guidance indicates maximums of 12-17°C regionally. Differentiating factors include model divergences on cloud cover—ECMWF slightly more persistent partial cloudiness capping at 15°C, versus GFS clearer skies allowing 16-18°C—and boundary layer mixing efficiency. Historical April averages hover at 13°C, but this setup favors above-normal warmth; monitor IMGW station data and evening model updates for final clarity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$8,790종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 15-16°C for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting afternoon peaks near 15-17°C amid a developing high-pressure ridge advecting warmer continental air over central Europe. Current observations on April 16 show daytime highs near 15°C with light winds, supporting mild conditions, while IMGW guidance indicates maximums of 12-17°C regionally. Differentiating factors include model divergences on cloud cover—ECMWF slightly more persistent partial cloudiness capping at 15°C, versus GFS clearer skies allowing 16-18°C—and boundary layer mixing efficiency. Historical April averages hover at 13°C, but this setup favors above-normal warmth; monitor IMGW station data and evening model updates for final clarity before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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