Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 14–16°C for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest IMGW forecasts showing a daytime maximum of 15.7°C amid partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds of 9–22 km/h, and isolated precipitation risks. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means similarly converge on 15–16°C, reflecting model agreement on a weak high-pressure ridge moderating cold advection while allowing afternoon solar heating. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—persistent overcast could cap at 14°C, while clearing skies enable 16°C peaks—and slight ensemble spreads typical for 24–48 hour forecasts. Weather.com aligns at 16°C under mostly sunny conditions. New model runs and real-time observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA) by evening could refine these market-implied odds before resolution via Wunderground data.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
15°C 40%
16°C 30%
14°C 20%
17°C or higher 11%
신규
$13,475 거래량
신규
$13,475 거래량
2026.04.17
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
20%
15°C
40%
16°C
30%
17°C or higher
11%
15°C 40%
16°C 30%
14°C 20%
17°C or higher 11%
신규
$13,475 거래량
신규
$13,475 거래량
2026.04.17
7°C or below
$1,001 거래량
<1%
8°C
$1,392 거래량
<1%
9°C
$2,006 거래량
<1%
10°C
$2,441 거래량
<1%
11°C
$1,552 거래량
1%
12°C
$837 거래량
1%
13°C
$1,444 거래량
4%
14°C
$555 거래량
20%
15°C
$591 거래량
40%
16°C
$703 거래량
30%
17°C or higher
$1,041 거래량
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 14–16°C for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest IMGW forecasts showing a daytime maximum of 15.7°C amid partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds of 9–22 km/h, and isolated precipitation risks. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means similarly converge on 15–16°C, reflecting model agreement on a weak high-pressure ridge moderating cold advection while allowing afternoon solar heating. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—persistent overcast could cap at 14°C, while clearing skies enable 16°C peaks—and slight ensemble spreads typical for 24–48 hour forecasts. Weather.com aligns at 16°C under mostly sunny conditions. New model runs and real-time observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA) by evening could refine these market-implied odds before resolution via Wunderground data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
거래량
$13,475종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 14–16°C for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest IMGW forecasts showing a daytime maximum of 15.7°C amid partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds of 9–22 km/h, and isolated precipitation risks. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means similarly converge on 15–16°C, reflecting model agreement on a weak high-pressure ridge moderating cold advection while allowing afternoon solar heating. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—persistent overcast could cap at 14°C, while clearing skies enable 16°C peaks—and slight ensemble spreads typical for 24–48 hour forecasts. Weather.com aligns at 16°C under mostly sunny conditions. New model runs and real-time observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA) by evening could refine these market-implied odds before resolution via Wunderground data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$13,475종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 14–16°C for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest IMGW forecasts showing a daytime maximum of 15.7°C amid partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds of 9–22 km/h, and isolated precipitation risks. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means similarly converge on 15–16°C, reflecting model agreement on a weak high-pressure ridge moderating cold advection while allowing afternoon solar heating. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—persistent overcast could cap at 14°C, while clearing skies enable 16°C peaks—and slight ensemble spreads typical for 24–48 hour forecasts. Weather.com aligns at 16°C under mostly sunny conditions. New model runs and real-time observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA) by evening could refine these market-implied odds before resolution via Wunderground data.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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