Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 16°C (60.5% implied probability) as Warsaw's highest temperature today at Chopin Airport, driven by the latest IMGW, ECMWF, and GFS ensemble forecasts converging tightly around 15-16°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting mild diurnal heating. Recent 24-hour model runs narrowed prior spreads from 12-18°C, as morning observations show stable conditions with partial cloud cover and light westerly winds, limiting extremes while allowing afternoon peaks near 16°C. The 26% on 15°C reflects risks from increasing clouds or showers later, per IMGW updates. Official station data via Wunderground will finalize the daily maximum post-midnight, with real-time hourly readings through 4 PM local time as the key watchpoint. Historical April averages hover near 13°C, underscoring this as a moderately warm outlier amid typical spring variability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 16일 바르샤바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
4월 16일 바르샤바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
16°C 50%
15°C 33%
17°C 15%
18°C 1.7%
신규
$43,390 거래량
신규
$43,390 거래량
2026.04.16
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
33%
16°C
50%
17°C
15%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C 이상
1%
16°C 50%
15°C 33%
17°C 15%
18°C 1.7%
신규
$43,390 거래량
신규
$43,390 거래량
2026.04.16
13°C
$8,578 거래량
<1%
14°C
$8,732 거래량
<1%
15°C
$3,427 거래량
33%
16°C
$3,118 거래량
50%
17°C
$3,324 거래량
15%
18°C
$2,460 거래량
2%
19°C
$1,769 거래량
1%
20°C 이상
$3,155 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 16°C (60.5% implied probability) as Warsaw's highest temperature today at Chopin Airport, driven by the latest IMGW, ECMWF, and GFS ensemble forecasts converging tightly around 15-16°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting mild diurnal heating. Recent 24-hour model runs narrowed prior spreads from 12-18°C, as morning observations show stable conditions with partial cloud cover and light westerly winds, limiting extremes while allowing afternoon peaks near 16°C. The 26% on 15°C reflects risks from increasing clouds or showers later, per IMGW updates. Official station data via Wunderground will finalize the daily maximum post-midnight, with real-time hourly readings through 4 PM local time as the key watchpoint. Historical April averages hover near 13°C, underscoring this as a moderately warm outlier amid typical spring variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
거래량
$43,390종료일
2026.04.16마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:14 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 16°C (60.5% implied probability) as Warsaw's highest temperature today at Chopin Airport, driven by the latest IMGW, ECMWF, and GFS ensemble forecasts converging tightly around 15-16°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting mild diurnal heating. Recent 24-hour model runs narrowed prior spreads from 12-18°C, as morning observations show stable conditions with partial cloud cover and light westerly winds, limiting extremes while allowing afternoon peaks near 16°C. The 26% on 15°C reflects risks from increasing clouds or showers later, per IMGW updates. Official station data via Wunderground will finalize the daily maximum post-midnight, with real-time hourly readings through 4 PM local time as the key watchpoint. Historical April averages hover near 13°C, underscoring this as a moderately warm outlier amid typical spring variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$43,390종료일
2026.04.16마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:14 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 16°C (60.5% implied probability) as Warsaw's highest temperature today at Chopin Airport, driven by the latest IMGW, ECMWF, and GFS ensemble forecasts converging tightly around 15-16°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting mild diurnal heating. Recent 24-hour model runs narrowed prior spreads from 12-18°C, as morning observations show stable conditions with partial cloud cover and light westerly winds, limiting extremes while allowing afternoon peaks near 16°C. The 26% on 15°C reflects risks from increasing clouds or showers later, per IMGW updates. Official station data via Wunderground will finalize the daily maximum post-midnight, with real-time hourly readings through 4 PM local time as the key watchpoint. Historical April averages hover near 13°C, underscoring this as a moderately warm outlier amid typical spring variability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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