Incumbent Sen. Jim Risch's reelection campaign, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement and over $3.8 million in cash on hand, anchors trader consensus at 90.5% for a Republican victory in Idaho's safely red U.S. Senate race, consistent with Cook Political Report's Solid R rating and no Democratic Senate win since 1974. A March PPP poll showed Risch leading 48%-34% against an independent challenger, underscoring his edge amid minimal Democratic fundraising. With the May 19 Republican primary approaching—featuring challengers Joe Evans, Denny LaVe, and Josh Roy—odds reflect low risk of general election turbulence, though a primary upset yielding a weakened nominee or late scandal could narrow the gap.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$12,529 거래량
$12,529 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
92%
민주당
8%
$12,529 거래량
$12,529 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$8,437 거래량
92%
민주당
$4,092 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Jim Risch's reelection campaign, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement and over $3.8 million in cash on hand, anchors trader consensus at 90.5% for a Republican victory in Idaho's safely red U.S. Senate race, consistent with Cook Political Report's Solid R rating and no Democratic Senate win since 1974. A March PPP poll showed Risch leading 48%-34% against an independent challenger, underscoring his edge amid minimal Democratic fundraising. With the May 19 Republican primary approaching—featuring challengers Joe Evans, Denny LaVe, and Josh Roy—odds reflect low risk of general election turbulence, though a primary upset yielding a weakened nominee or late scandal could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
거래량
$12,529종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Jim Risch's reelection campaign, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement and over $3.8 million in cash on hand, anchors trader consensus at 90.5% for a Republican victory in Idaho's safely red U.S. Senate race, consistent with Cook Political Report's Solid R rating and no Democratic Senate win since 1974. A March PPP poll showed Risch leading 48%-34% against an independent challenger, underscoring his edge amid minimal Democratic fundraising. With the May 19 Republican primary approaching—featuring challengers Joe Evans, Denny LaVe, and Josh Roy—odds reflect low risk of general election turbulence, though a primary upset yielding a weakened nominee or late scandal could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$12,529종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Jim Risch's reelection campaign, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement and over $3.8 million in cash on hand, anchors trader consensus at 90.5% for a Republican victory in Idaho's safely red U.S. Senate race, consistent with Cook Political Report's Solid R rating and no Democratic Senate win since 1974. A March PPP poll showed Risch leading 48%-34% against an independent challenger, underscoring his edge amid minimal Democratic fundraising. With the May 19 Republican primary approaching—featuring challengers Joe Evans, Denny LaVe, and Josh Roy—odds reflect low risk of general election turbulence, though a primary upset yielding a weakened nominee or late scandal could narrow the gap.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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