Polymarket's trader consensus prices a 64.5% implied probability for a SpaceX initial public offering in June 2026, fueled by the company's April 1 confidential SEC filing and subsequent disclosures outlining a roadshow launch the week of June 8, pricing around mid-June, and site visits for institutional investors this week. July trails at 19.1%, hedging potential delays in regulatory review or volatile market conditions, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6.6% reflects fading skepticism amid a targeted $75 billion raise at $1.75 trillion valuation—bolstered by Starlink revenue growth and 30% retail share allocation. Key catalysts include late-May prospectus release and lead underwriters like Morgan Stanley.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 65%
7월 19.1%
2027년 이전 IPO 없음 6.6%
8월 4.1%
$230,256 거래량
$230,256 거래량
2026.12.31
4월
1%
5월
3%
6월
65%
7월
19%
8월
4%
9월
3%
10월
1%
11월
1%
12월
1%
2027년 이전 IPO 없음
7%
6월 65%
7월 19.1%
2027년 이전 IPO 없음 6.6%
8월 4.1%
$230,256 거래량
$230,256 거래량
2026.12.31
4월
$24,182 거래량
1%
5월
$20,343 거래량
3%
6월
$97,993 거래량
65%
7월
$8,862 거래량
19%
8월
$2,874 거래량
4%
9월
$4,843 거래량
3%
10월
$5,314 거래량
1%
11월
$3,567 거래량
1%
12월
$2,971 거래량
1%
2027년 이전 IPO 없음
$6,226 거래량
7%
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Polymarket's trader consensus prices a 64.5% implied probability for a SpaceX initial public offering in June 2026, fueled by the company's April 1 confidential SEC filing and subsequent disclosures outlining a roadshow launch the week of June 8, pricing around mid-June, and site visits for institutional investors this week. July trails at 19.1%, hedging potential delays in regulatory review or volatile market conditions, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6.6% reflects fading skepticism amid a targeted $75 billion raise at $1.75 trillion valuation—bolstered by Starlink revenue growth and 30% retail share allocation. Key catalysts include late-May prospectus release and lead underwriters like Morgan Stanley.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
마켓 개설일: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
거래량
$230,256종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Polymarket's trader consensus prices a 64.5% implied probability for a SpaceX initial public offering in June 2026, fueled by the company's April 1 confidential SEC filing and subsequent disclosures outlining a roadshow launch the week of June 8, pricing around mid-June, and site visits for institutional investors this week. July trails at 19.1%, hedging potential delays in regulatory review or volatile market conditions, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6.6% reflects fading skepticism amid a targeted $75 billion raise at $1.75 trillion valuation—bolstered by Starlink revenue growth and 30% retail share allocation. Key catalysts include late-May prospectus release and lead underwriters like Morgan Stanley.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
거래량
$230,256종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket's trader consensus prices a 64.5% implied probability for a SpaceX initial public offering in June 2026, fueled by the company's April 1 confidential SEC filing and subsequent disclosures outlining a roadshow launch the week of June 8, pricing around mid-June, and site visits for institutional investors this week. July trails at 19.1%, hedging potential delays in regulatory review or volatile market conditions, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6.6% reflects fading skepticism amid a targeted $75 billion raise at $1.75 trillion valuation—bolstered by Starlink revenue growth and 30% retail share allocation. Key catalysts include late-May prospectus release and lead underwriters like Morgan Stanley.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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