Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis have launched multiple ballistic missile and drone barrages at Israel since March 28, 2026—their first in the current US-Israeli war against Iran—with Israeli air defenses successfully intercepting most threats over cities like Beersheba and Tel Aviv. No Israeli military strikes on Houthi targets in Yemen have occurred in the past 30 days, despite vows of further attacks from Houthi spokesman Yahya Saree amid the conflict's second month. A US-Iran two-week ceasefire announced April 7 has paused some escalations, but Houthi leader Abdulmalik al-Houthi signaled continued operations on April 9 unless Israel halts actions in Lebanon. Traders assess risks of Israeli retaliation amid diplomatic pressures and regional proxy dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,595,936 거래량
2026.04.30
4월 15일
1%
4월 30일
21%
5월 31일
29%
6월 30일
28%
$1,595,936 거래량
4월 15일
$203,988 거래량
1%
4월 30일
$190,216 거래량
21%
5월 31일
$76,501 거래량
29%
6월 30일
$435,289 거래량
28%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis have launched multiple ballistic missile and drone barrages at Israel since March 28, 2026—their first in the current US-Israeli war against Iran—with Israeli air defenses successfully intercepting most threats over cities like Beersheba and Tel Aviv. No Israeli military strikes on Houthi targets in Yemen have occurred in the past 30 days, despite vows of further attacks from Houthi spokesman Yahya Saree amid the conflict's second month. A US-Iran two-week ceasefire announced April 7 has paused some escalations, but Houthi leader Abdulmalik al-Houthi signaled continued operations on April 9 unless Israel halts actions in Lebanon. Traders assess risks of Israeli retaliation amid diplomatic pressures and regional proxy dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 18, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
거래량
$1,595,936종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Mar 18, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis have launched multiple ballistic missile and drone barrages at Israel since March 28, 2026—their first in the current US-Israeli war against Iran—with Israeli air defenses successfully intercepting most threats over cities like Beersheba and Tel Aviv. No Israeli military strikes on Houthi targets in Yemen have occurred in the past 30 days, despite vows of further attacks from Houthi spokesman Yahya Saree amid the conflict's second month. A US-Iran two-week ceasefire announced April 7 has paused some escalations, but Houthi leader Abdulmalik al-Houthi signaled continued operations on April 9 unless Israel halts actions in Lebanon. Traders assess risks of Israeli retaliation amid diplomatic pressures and regional proxy dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,595,936종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Mar 18, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis have launched multiple ballistic missile and drone barrages at Israel since March 28, 2026—their first in the current US-Israeli war against Iran—with Israeli air defenses successfully intercepting most threats over cities like Beersheba and Tel Aviv. No Israeli military strikes on Houthi targets in Yemen have occurred in the past 30 days, despite vows of further attacks from Houthi spokesman Yahya Saree amid the conflict's second month. A US-Iran two-week ceasefire announced April 7 has paused some escalations, but Houthi leader Abdulmalik al-Houthi signaled continued operations on April 9 unless Israel halts actions in Lebanon. Traders assess risks of Israeli retaliation amid diplomatic pressures and regional proxy dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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