Israeli Defense Forces have conducted limited ground operations and airstrikes in southern Lebanon since mid-March 2026, targeting Hezbollah positions beyond the Litani River, but have not advanced toward Beirut, over 100 kilometers north, amid fierce resistance and high casualties on both sides. Recent escalations include expanded evacuations, over 2,000 Lebanese deaths from Israeli attacks since March 2, and strikes on Beirut suburbs, yet no ground entry into Beirut municipality. Diplomatic momentum builds with Israel-Lebanon direct talks in Washington this week—the first in over 30 years—alongside Hezbollah's opposition and UN calls for de-escalation, tempering escalation risks before April 30. Trader consensus reflects significant military barriers, logistical challenges, and negotiation pressures outweighing further northern push.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$136,352 거래량
2026.04.30
4월 30일
3%
$136,352 거래량
4월 30일
$101,732 거래량
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Israeli Defense Forces have conducted limited ground operations and airstrikes in southern Lebanon since mid-March 2026, targeting Hezbollah positions beyond the Litani River, but have not advanced toward Beirut, over 100 kilometers north, amid fierce resistance and high casualties on both sides. Recent escalations include expanded evacuations, over 2,000 Lebanese deaths from Israeli attacks since March 2, and strikes on Beirut suburbs, yet no ground entry into Beirut municipality. Diplomatic momentum builds with Israel-Lebanon direct talks in Washington this week—the first in over 30 years—alongside Hezbollah's opposition and UN calls for de-escalation, tempering escalation risks before April 30. Trader consensus reflects significant military barriers, logistical challenges, and negotiation pressures outweighing further northern push.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ET
거래량
$136,352종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Israeli Defense Forces have conducted limited ground operations and airstrikes in southern Lebanon since mid-March 2026, targeting Hezbollah positions beyond the Litani River, but have not advanced toward Beirut, over 100 kilometers north, amid fierce resistance and high casualties on both sides. Recent escalations include expanded evacuations, over 2,000 Lebanese deaths from Israeli attacks since March 2, and strikes on Beirut suburbs, yet no ground entry into Beirut municipality. Diplomatic momentum builds with Israel-Lebanon direct talks in Washington this week—the first in over 30 years—alongside Hezbollah's opposition and UN calls for de-escalation, tempering escalation risks before April 30. Trader consensus reflects significant military barriers, logistical challenges, and negotiation pressures outweighing further northern push.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$136,352종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli Defense Forces have conducted limited ground operations and airstrikes in southern Lebanon since mid-March 2026, targeting Hezbollah positions beyond the Litani River, but have not advanced toward Beirut, over 100 kilometers north, amid fierce resistance and high casualties on both sides. Recent escalations include expanded evacuations, over 2,000 Lebanese deaths from Israeli attacks since March 2, and strikes on Beirut suburbs, yet no ground entry into Beirut municipality. Diplomatic momentum builds with Israel-Lebanon direct talks in Washington this week—the first in over 30 years—alongside Hezbollah's opposition and UN calls for de-escalation, tempering escalation risks before April 30. Trader consensus reflects significant military barriers, logistical challenges, and negotiation pressures outweighing further northern push.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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