Incumbent Democrat Cory Booker seeks a third full term in the November 2026 election for New Jersey’s Class II Senate seat, facing Republican nominee Justin Murphy following the June 2 primaries. New Jersey’s heavy Democratic voter registration edge, combined with Booker’s unopposed nomination and substantial fundraising lead, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Republicans have not won a Senate race in the state since 1972, and nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safe Democratic. A fragmented Republican primary produced a relatively unknown nominee with limited name recognition and resources. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major national partisan wave, unforeseen legal or personal developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts in key suburban areas, though current structural factors limit the realistic probability of an upset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$18,047 거래량
$18,047 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
5%
$18,047 거래량
$18,047 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$9,058 거래량
95%
공화당
$8,988 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Cory Booker seeks a third full term in the November 2026 election for New Jersey’s Class II Senate seat, facing Republican nominee Justin Murphy following the June 2 primaries. New Jersey’s heavy Democratic voter registration edge, combined with Booker’s unopposed nomination and substantial fundraising lead, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Republicans have not won a Senate race in the state since 1972, and nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safe Democratic. A fragmented Republican primary produced a relatively unknown nominee with limited name recognition and resources. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major national partisan wave, unforeseen legal or personal developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts in key suburban areas, though current structural factors limit the realistic probability of an upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
거래량
$18,047종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Cory Booker seeks a third full term in the November 2026 election for New Jersey’s Class II Senate seat, facing Republican nominee Justin Murphy following the June 2 primaries. New Jersey’s heavy Democratic voter registration edge, combined with Booker’s unopposed nomination and substantial fundraising lead, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Republicans have not won a Senate race in the state since 1972, and nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safe Democratic. A fragmented Republican primary produced a relatively unknown nominee with limited name recognition and resources. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major national partisan wave, unforeseen legal or personal developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts in key suburban areas, though current structural factors limit the realistic probability of an upset.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$18,047종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Cory Booker seeks a third full term in the November 2026 election for New Jersey’s Class II Senate seat, facing Republican nominee Justin Murphy following the June 2 primaries. New Jersey’s heavy Democratic voter registration edge, combined with Booker’s unopposed nomination and substantial fundraising lead, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Republicans have not won a Senate race in the state since 1972, and nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safe Democratic. A fragmented Republican primary produced a relatively unknown nominee with limited name recognition and resources. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major national partisan wave, unforeseen legal or personal developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts in key suburban areas, though current structural factors limit the realistic probability of an upset.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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