LaMonica McIver holds a commanding position in the NJ-10 Democratic primary as the incumbent who won the 2024 special election to succeed the late Donald Payne Jr. All three county Democratic organizations and the New Jersey Working Families Party have endorsed her ahead of the June 2 primary, while challenger Lawrence Poster remains a low-profile newcomer with minimal public profile or institutional backing. Trader consensus at 96% for McIver reflects this institutional and incumbency advantage in the heavily Democratic district. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unusually high challenger turnout or late developments affecting voter mobilization before ballots close.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트LaMonica McIver
96%
Lawrence Poster
4%
LaMonica McIver
96%
Lawrence Poster
4%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: May 20, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...LaMonica McIver holds a commanding position in the NJ-10 Democratic primary as the incumbent who won the 2024 special election to succeed the late Donald Payne Jr. All three county Democratic organizations and the New Jersey Working Families Party have endorsed her ahead of the June 2 primary, while challenger Lawrence Poster remains a low-profile newcomer with minimal public profile or institutional backing. Trader consensus at 96% for McIver reflects this institutional and incumbency advantage in the heavily Democratic district. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include unusually high challenger turnout or late developments affecting voter mobilization before ballots close.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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