Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott's sky-high approval ratings as America's most popular governor, bolstered by his 2024 landslide 52-point reelection victory across every Vermont city and town, drive trader consensus toward a 76.5% implied probability of a Republican win on November 3, 2026. Despite the state's deep Democratic lean, Scott's moderate appeal and cross-party support have sustained dominance in this two-year-term race, with no term limits constraining his bid. Recent Democratic primary entrants—Amanda Janoo on March 10 and Aly Richards on April 6—signal an emerging challenge but face a fragmented field ahead of the May 28 filing deadline and August primaries. Absent polls, historical incumbency advantages and Scott's consistent outperformance anchor the GOP favoritism, though his formal announcement remains pending.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$18,228 거래량
$18,228 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
77%
민주당
18%
$18,228 거래량
$18,228 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$10,938 거래량
77%
민주당
$7,290 거래량
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott's sky-high approval ratings as America's most popular governor, bolstered by his 2024 landslide 52-point reelection victory across every Vermont city and town, drive trader consensus toward a 76.5% implied probability of a Republican win on November 3, 2026. Despite the state's deep Democratic lean, Scott's moderate appeal and cross-party support have sustained dominance in this two-year-term race, with no term limits constraining his bid. Recent Democratic primary entrants—Amanda Janoo on March 10 and Aly Richards on April 6—signal an emerging challenge but face a fragmented field ahead of the May 28 filing deadline and August primaries. Absent polls, historical incumbency advantages and Scott's consistent outperformance anchor the GOP favoritism, though his formal announcement remains pending.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
거래량
$18,228종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott's sky-high approval ratings as America's most popular governor, bolstered by his 2024 landslide 52-point reelection victory across every Vermont city and town, drive trader consensus toward a 76.5% implied probability of a Republican win on November 3, 2026. Despite the state's deep Democratic lean, Scott's moderate appeal and cross-party support have sustained dominance in this two-year-term race, with no term limits constraining his bid. Recent Democratic primary entrants—Amanda Janoo on March 10 and Aly Richards on April 6—signal an emerging challenge but face a fragmented field ahead of the May 28 filing deadline and August primaries. Absent polls, historical incumbency advantages and Scott's consistent outperformance anchor the GOP favoritism, though his formal announcement remains pending.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$18,228종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott's sky-high approval ratings as America's most popular governor, bolstered by his 2024 landslide 52-point reelection victory across every Vermont city and town, drive trader consensus toward a 76.5% implied probability of a Republican win on November 3, 2026. Despite the state's deep Democratic lean, Scott's moderate appeal and cross-party support have sustained dominance in this two-year-term race, with no term limits constraining his bid. Recent Democratic primary entrants—Amanda Janoo on March 10 and Aly Richards on April 6—signal an emerging challenge but face a fragmented field ahead of the May 28 filing deadline and August primaries. Absent polls, historical incumbency advantages and Scott's consistent outperformance anchor the GOP favoritism, though his formal announcement remains pending.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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