Maine’s open 2026 gubernatorial race, following term-limited Democratic incumbent Janet Mills, features a Democratic primary still undergoing ranked-choice tabulation after June 9 voting where Nirav Shah led first preferences. The state’s recent voting patterns, including Mills’s 2022 reelection and consistent Democratic strength in presidential and legislative contests, anchor trader consensus behind the eventual Democratic nominee. On the Republican side, Bobby Charles leads a fragmented primary field. Limited general-election polling and the possibility of independent candidacies add some uncertainty, yet these factors have kept implied probabilities heavily tilted toward Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democrat
89%
Republican
12%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democrat
$5,519 거래량
89%
Republican
$4,198 거래량
12%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Maine’s open 2026 gubernatorial race, following term-limited Democratic incumbent Janet Mills, features a Democratic primary still undergoing ranked-choice tabulation after June 9 voting where Nirav Shah led first preferences. The state’s recent voting patterns, including Mills’s 2022 reelection and consistent Democratic strength in presidential and legislative contests, anchor trader consensus behind the eventual Democratic nominee. On the Republican side, Bobby Charles leads a fragmented primary field. Limited general-election polling and the possibility of independent candidacies add some uncertainty, yet these factors have kept implied probabilities heavily tilted toward Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
거래량
$9,717종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Maine’s open 2026 gubernatorial race, following term-limited Democratic incumbent Janet Mills, features a Democratic primary still undergoing ranked-choice tabulation after June 9 voting where Nirav Shah led first preferences. The state’s recent voting patterns, including Mills’s 2022 reelection and consistent Democratic strength in presidential and legislative contests, anchor trader consensus behind the eventual Democratic nominee. On the Republican side, Bobby Charles leads a fragmented primary field. Limited general-election polling and the possibility of independent candidacies add some uncertainty, yet these factors have kept implied probabilities heavily tilted toward Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$9,717종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maine’s open 2026 gubernatorial race, following term-limited Democratic incumbent Janet Mills, features a Democratic primary still undergoing ranked-choice tabulation after June 9 voting where Nirav Shah led first preferences. The state’s recent voting patterns, including Mills’s 2022 reelection and consistent Democratic strength in presidential and legislative contests, anchor trader consensus behind the eventual Democratic nominee. On the Republican side, Bobby Charles leads a fragmented primary field. Limited general-election polling and the possibility of independent candidacies add some uncertainty, yet these factors have kept implied probabilities heavily tilted toward Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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