Texas' 35th Congressional District, redrawn mid-decade to favor Republicans with a Likely R rating from the Cook Political Report, sees trader consensus tilt slightly toward the GOP at 51% implied probability for the November 3 general election winner, reflecting the maps' partisan lean amid an open seat vacated by Democrats. The race stays tight at 42% for Democrats due to strong urban turnout potential in the San Antonio-Austin corridor and competitive primaries forcing May 26 runoffs: State Rep. John Lujan versus Carlos De La Cruz on the GOP side, and sheriff's deputy Johnny Garcia—recently backed by national Democrats—against housing activist Maureen Galindo for Democrats. Nominee outcomes, fundraising edges, and midterm national environment could widen the gap.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
50%
Democratic Party
43%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$755 거래량
50%
Democratic Party
$1,581 거래량
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 35th Congressional District, redrawn mid-decade to favor Republicans with a Likely R rating from the Cook Political Report, sees trader consensus tilt slightly toward the GOP at 51% implied probability for the November 3 general election winner, reflecting the maps' partisan lean amid an open seat vacated by Democrats. The race stays tight at 42% for Democrats due to strong urban turnout potential in the San Antonio-Austin corridor and competitive primaries forcing May 26 runoffs: State Rep. John Lujan versus Carlos De La Cruz on the GOP side, and sheriff's deputy Johnny Garcia—recently backed by national Democrats—against housing activist Maureen Galindo for Democrats. Nominee outcomes, fundraising edges, and midterm national environment could widen the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
거래량
$2,337종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 35th Congressional District, redrawn mid-decade to favor Republicans with a Likely R rating from the Cook Political Report, sees trader consensus tilt slightly toward the GOP at 51% implied probability for the November 3 general election winner, reflecting the maps' partisan lean amid an open seat vacated by Democrats. The race stays tight at 42% for Democrats due to strong urban turnout potential in the San Antonio-Austin corridor and competitive primaries forcing May 26 runoffs: State Rep. John Lujan versus Carlos De La Cruz on the GOP side, and sheriff's deputy Johnny Garcia—recently backed by national Democrats—against housing activist Maureen Galindo for Democrats. Nominee outcomes, fundraising edges, and midterm national environment could widen the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,337종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas' 35th Congressional District, redrawn mid-decade to favor Republicans with a Likely R rating from the Cook Political Report, sees trader consensus tilt slightly toward the GOP at 51% implied probability for the November 3 general election winner, reflecting the maps' partisan lean amid an open seat vacated by Democrats. The race stays tight at 42% for Democrats due to strong urban turnout potential in the San Antonio-Austin corridor and competitive primaries forcing May 26 runoffs: State Rep. John Lujan versus Carlos De La Cruz on the GOP side, and sheriff's deputy Johnny Garcia—recently backed by national Democrats—against housing activist Maureen Galindo for Democrats. Nominee outcomes, fundraising edges, and midterm national environment could widen the gap.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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