Trader consensus heavily favors no Iranian presidential election by June 30 at 96.7%, driven by President Masoud Pezeshkian's stable tenure following his July 2024 inauguration after the snap vote triggered by Ebrahim Raisi's death, with his four-year term constitutionally set to end in 2028 absent death, resignation, or incapacity requiring Guardian Council approval and a 50-day election window. Recent diplomatic activity—including Pezeshkian's April open letter to Americans urging dialogue amid U.S. ceasefire negotiations and blockade threats—signals leadership continuity despite escalating tensions with the Trump administration over potential military actions. Absent late-breaking health events, scandals, or Supreme Leader intervention, structural barriers maintain high confidence in the status quo.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$201,776 거래량
$201,776 거래량
2026.06.30
예
$201,776 거래량
$201,776 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no Iranian presidential election by June 30 at 96.7%, driven by President Masoud Pezeshkian's stable tenure following his July 2024 inauguration after the snap vote triggered by Ebrahim Raisi's death, with his four-year term constitutionally set to end in 2028 absent death, resignation, or incapacity requiring Guardian Council approval and a 50-day election window. Recent diplomatic activity—including Pezeshkian's April open letter to Americans urging dialogue amid U.S. ceasefire negotiations and blockade threats—signals leadership continuity despite escalating tensions with the Trump administration over potential military actions. Absent late-breaking health events, scandals, or Supreme Leader intervention, structural barriers maintain high confidence in the status quo.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
거래량
$201,776종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no Iranian presidential election by June 30 at 96.7%, driven by President Masoud Pezeshkian's stable tenure following his July 2024 inauguration after the snap vote triggered by Ebrahim Raisi's death, with his four-year term constitutionally set to end in 2028 absent death, resignation, or incapacity requiring Guardian Council approval and a 50-day election window. Recent diplomatic activity—including Pezeshkian's April open letter to Americans urging dialogue amid U.S. ceasefire negotiations and blockade threats—signals leadership continuity despite escalating tensions with the Trump administration over potential military actions. Absent late-breaking health events, scandals, or Supreme Leader intervention, structural barriers maintain high confidence in the status quo.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$201,776종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no Iranian presidential election by June 30 at 96.7%, driven by President Masoud Pezeshkian's stable tenure following his July 2024 inauguration after the snap vote triggered by Ebrahim Raisi's death, with his four-year term constitutionally set to end in 2028 absent death, resignation, or incapacity requiring Guardian Council approval and a 50-day election window. Recent diplomatic activity—including Pezeshkian's April open letter to Americans urging dialogue amid U.S. ceasefire negotiations and blockade threats—signals leadership continuity despite escalating tensions with the Trump administration over potential military actions. Absent late-breaking health events, scandals, or Supreme Leader intervention, structural barriers maintain high confidence in the status quo.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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